2017

Abatan AA, Abiodun BJ, Gutowski, WJ and Rasaq-Balogun, S. O. (2017). Trends and variability in absolute indices of temperature extremes over Nigeria: linkage with NAO. Int. J. Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.5196

Abatan AA, Osayomi T, Akande SO, Abiodun BJ, and Gutowski WJ (2017). Trends in mean and extreme temperatures over Ibadan, Southwest Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, DOI:10.1007/s00704-017-2049-1.

Abiodun, B.J., Adegoke, J., Abatan, A.A., Ibe, C.A., Egbebiyi, T.S., Engelbrecht, F. and Pinto, I., 2017. Potential impacts of climate change on extreme precipitation over four African coastal cities. Climatic Change, pp.1-15.

Angélil O., Stone D., Perkins-Kirkpatrick S., Alexander L.V., Wehner M., Shiogama H., Wolski P., Ciavarella A., Christidis N., 2017. On the nonlinearity of spatial scales in extreme weather attribution statements Climate Dynamics

Archer E., Landman W., Tadross M., Malherbe J., Weepener H., Maluleke P., MarumbwaF., 2017. Understanding the evolution of the 2014–2016 summer rainfall seasons in southern Africa: Key lessons Climate Risk Management, Volume 16, 2017, Pages 22-28

Cobon, D. H., W. E. Baethgen, W. Landman, A. Williams, E. Archer van Garderen, P. Johnston, J. Malherbe, P. Maluleke, I. Ben Kgakatsi, P. Davis 2017. Agroclimatology in Grasslands. In: J. L. Hatfield, M. V.K. Sivakumar, J. H. Prueger, editors, Agroclimatology: Linking Agriculture to Climate, Agron. Monogr. 60. ASA, CSSA, and SSSA, Madison, WI.

Descheemaeker K., Zijlstra M., Masikati P., Crespo O., Homann-Kee Tui S., 2017. Effects of climate change and adaptation on the livestock component of mixed farming systems: A modelling study from semi-arid Zimbabwe Agricultural Systems in press.

De Sherbinin, A., Apotsos, A. and Chevrier, J. 2017. Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa. The Geographical Journal. DOI: 10.1111/geoj.12226.

Hewitson, B.C., Waagsaether, K., Wohland, J., Kloppers, K., Teizeen, K., 2017: Climate Information Websites: an evolving landscape Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews (WIRE) Climate Change

James R, Washington R, Abiodun B, Kay G, Mutemi J, Pokam W, Hart N, Artan G, Senior C. 2017. Evaluating climate models with an African lens. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Landman W.A., Englebrecht F., Hewitson B., Malherbe J., van der Merwe J., 2017: Towards bridging the gap between climate change projections and maize producers in South Africa Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Maoyi ML, Abiodun BJ, Prusa JM, and Veitch JJ (2017): Simulating the characteristics of Tropical Cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model. Climate Dynamics pp 1–16. DOI:10.1007/s00382-017-3706-x

Mosimane, K. ,Struyf, E.,Gondwe, M.J., Frings, P., van Pelt, D., Wolski, P., Schoelynck, J.,Schaller, J.,Conley, D.J., Murray-Hudson, M., 2017. Variability in chemistry of surface and soil waters of an evapotranspiration-dominated flood-pulsed wetland: Solute processing in the okavango delta, Botswana Water SA, Volume 43, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 104-115

Nyamwanza A.M., New M.G., Fujisawa M., Johnston P., Hajat A., 2017. Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa, Climatic Change

Odoulami RC, Abiodun BJ, Ajayi AE, Diasso UJ, and Saley, MM (2017). Potential impacts of forestation on heatwaves over West Africa in the futureEcological Engineering 102, 546-556.

Oguntunde PG., Abiodun BJ, and Lischeid G (2017) Impacts of climate change on hydro-meteorological drought over the Volta Basin, West AfricaGlobal and Planetary Change. 155, 121 -132

Chandni Singh, Daron J , Bazaz A, Ziervogel G, Spear D, Krishnaswamy J, Zaroug M, Kituyi E, 2017. The utility of weather and climate information for adaptation decision making: current uses and future prospects in Africa and India. Climate and Development (accepted)

Portia Adade Williams P., Crespo O., Atkinson Ch., Essegbey G., 2017. Impact of climate variability on pineapple production in Ghana.Agriculture & Food Security

Wolski, P., Jack, Ch., Tadross, M., van Aardenne, L., Lennard, Ch. 2017. Interannual rainfall variability and SOM-based circulation classification.Climate Dynamics

Wolski, P., Murray-Hudson, M., Thito, K., Cassidy, L., 2017. Keeping it simple: Monitoring flood extent in large data-poor wetlands using MODIS SWIR data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 57, pp. 224-234.

2016
Rauser, F., Alqadi, M., Arowolo, S., Baker, N., Behrens, E., Bedard, J., Dogulu, N., Gatti Domingues, L., Frassoni, A., Keller, J., Kirkpatrick, S., Langendijk, G., Mohammad, S., Mirsafa, M., Naumann, A. K., Osman, M., Reed, K., Rothmüller, M., Schemann, V., Singh, A., Sonntag, S., Tummon, F., Victor, D., Villafuerte, M. Q., Walawender, J. P. & Zaroug, M., 2016. Earth System Science Frontiers-an ECS perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Schaller, J. Schoelynck, J. Murray-Hudson, M. Frings, P.J. van Pelt, D. Hegewald, T. Mosimane, K. Gondwe, M. Wolski, P. Meire, P. Struyf, E. 2016. Input, behaviour and distribution of multiple elements in abiotic matrices along a transect within the Okavango Delta, northern Botswana . Environmental Monitoring and Assessmen, 188, 682.

LEI Bu-yun, ZHAO Shu-he, QIN Zhi-hao, Peter JOHNSTON, HE Ke-xun, ZHANG Zhen-ke. 2016. Drought temporal-spatial distribution of South Africa based on MODIS SDI index from 2001-2014. Arid Land Geography, 39(2), 395-404.

Nchaba, T., Mpholo, M. and Lennard, C. 2016. Long-term austral summer wind speed trends over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4883

Ncube, M., Madubula, N., Ngwenya, H., Zinyengere, N., Zhou, L., Francis, J., Mthunzi, T., Crespo, O. and Madzivhandila, T. 2016. Climate change, household vulnerability and smart agriculture: The case of two South African provinces. Jàmbá: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies; Vol 8, No 2 (2016), 14 pages. doi: 10.4102/jamba.v8i2.182

Naik, M. and Abiodun, B. J. 2016. Potential impacts of forestation on future climate change in Southern Africa. Int. J. Climatol.. doi:10.1002/joc.4652

Omar, S.A. and Abiodun, B.J. 2016. How well do CORDEX models simulate extreme rainfall events over the East Coast of South Africa? Theoretical and Applied Climatology pp 1-12. DOI 10.1007/s00704-015-1714-5.

Ruane, A.C., Tiechmann, C., W. Arnell, N.W., Carter, T.R., Ebi, K.L., Frieler, K., Goodess, C.M., Hewitson, B., Horton, R., Kovats, R.S., Lotze, H.K., Mearns, L.O., Navarra, A., Ojima, D.S., Riahi, K., Rosenzweig, C., Themessl, M. and Vincent, K. 2016. The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Climate Services Advisory Board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3493–3515. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3493-2016.

Steynor, A., Padgham, J., Jack, C., Hewitson, B. and Lennard, C. 2016. Co-exploratory climate risk workshops: Experiences from urban Africa. Climate Risk Management. doi:10.1016/j.crm.2016.03.001. 

Thito, K., Wolski, P. and M Murray-Hudson, M. 2016. Mapping inundation extent, frequency and duration in the Okavango Delta from 2001 to 2012. African Journal of Aquatic Science, 41:3, 267-277, DOI: 10.2989/16085914.2016.1173009.

2015

Abatan, A.A., Abiodun, B.J., Lawal, K.A. and Gutowski Jr. W.J. 2015. Trends in extreme temperature over Nigeria from percentile-based threshold indicesInternational Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4510.

Abiodun, B.J., Omar, S.A., Lennard. C. and Jack C. 2015. Using regional climate models to simulate extreme rainfall events in the Western Cape, South Africa. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4376.

WMO Bulletin Vol 64 (2) – 2015: By Peter Adams, Bruce Hewitson, Catherine Vaughan, Rob Wilby, Stephen Zebiak, Erika Eitland and WMO Secretariat  – Call for an Ethical Framework for Climate Services.

Under the auspices of the Climate Services Partnership, drafted by: Adams, P., Eitland, E., Hewitson, B., Vaughan, C., Wilby, R., Zebiak, S. 2015. Toward an ethical framework for climate services: A White Paper of the Climate Services Partnership Working Group on Climate Services Ethics.

Bellprat, O., Lott, F.C., Gulizia, C., Parker, H.R., Pampuch, L.A., Pinto, I., Ciavarella, A., and Stott, P.A. 2015. Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over southern Africa and south America from a climate perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.07.001.

Browne-Klutse N.A., Abiodun B.J., Hewitson B.C., Gutowski W.J. and Tadross M. 2015. Evaluation of two GCMs in simulating rainfall inter-annual variability over Southern Africa. Theoretical & Applied climatology. DOI:10.1007/s00704-014-1356-z.

Daron, J.D., and Colenbrander, D.R. 2015. A critical investigation of evaluation matrices to inform coastal adaptation and planning decisions at the local scale. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management Vol 58(12) 2250-2270.

Daron, J.D., Lorenz, S., Wolski, P., Blamey, R.C., and Jack, C. 2015. Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisionsClimate Risk Management. doi:10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.007.

Daron, J.D., Sutherland, K., Jack, C., and Hewitson, B.C. 2015. The role of regional climate projections in managing complex socio-ecological systemsRegional Environmental Change Vol 15 1-12.

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2015. On quantifying the climate of the nonautonomous Lorenz-63 model. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 25, 043103 (2015); DOI: 10.1063/1.4916789.

Diasso, U. and Abiodun, B.J. 2015. Drought modes in West Africa and how well CORDEX RCMs simulate themTheoretical and Applied Climatology pp 1-18: DOI 10.1007/s00704-015-1705-6

Endris, H.S., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G. and Panitz, H-J. 2015. Teleconnection responses in multi-GCM driven CORDEX RCMs over Eastern AfricaClimate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2734-7.

Favre, A., Philippon, N., Pohl, B., Kalognomou, E-A., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Nikulin, G., Dosio, A., Panitz, H .J., and Cerezo-Mota, R. 2015. Spatial distribution of precipitation annual cycles over South Africa in 10 CORDEX regional climate model present-day simulations. Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2677-z

Fujisawa, M., Kobayashi, K., Johnston, P., and New, M. 2015. What drives farmers to make top-down or bottom-up adaptation to climate change and fluctuations? A comparative study on 3 cases of apple farming in Japan and South AfricaPlos ONE 10(3) e0120563 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0120563 (2015) 1-16.

Hauser, T., Demirov, E., Zhu, J., and Yashayaev, I.  2015. North Atlantic atmospheric and ocean inter-annual variability over the past fifty years – Dominant patterns and decadal shifts. Progress in Oceanography. Vol 132 197-219.

Hewitson, B., 2015. To build capacity, build confidenceNature Geoscience 8, 497–499. doi:10.1038/ngeo2465.

Jones, L., Dougill, A., Jones, R.G, Steynor, A., Watkiss, P., Kane, C., Koelle, B., Moufouma-Okia, W., Padgham, J., Ranger, N.,  Roux, J-P., Suarez, P., Tanner T.,  and Vincent, K. 2015. Ensuring climate information guides long-term developmentNature Climate Change 5, 812–814. doi:10.1038/nclimate2701.

Klutse, N. A., B., Sylla, M. B., Diallo, I., Sarr, A., Dosio, A., Diedhiou, A., Kamga, A., Lamptey, B., Ali, A., Gbobanyini E., Owusu, K., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B.,
Grigory Nikulin, G., Panitz, HJ, and Büchner, M. 2015. Daily characteristics of West African summer monsoon precipitation in CORDEX simulations. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1-18. 

Lennard, C., Hahmann, A.N., Badger, J., Mortensen, N.G., and Argent, B. 2015. Development of a Numerical Wind Atlas for South AfricaEnergy Procedia Vol 76 128–137.

Lennard, C., and Hegerl, G. 2015. Relating changes in synoptic circulation to the surface rainfall response using self-organising mapsClimate Dynamics Vol 44 861-879.

Linhoss, A.C.Carpena, R., Kiker, G., and Wolski, P. 2015. Reducing uncertainty based on model fitness: Application to a reservoir model. Water SA Vol. 41 No. 1.

Mpholo, M., Nchaba, T., and Monese, M. 2015. Yield and performance analysis of the first grid-connected solar farm at Moshoeshoe I International Airport, LesothoRenewable Energy Vol 81 (2015) 845-852.

Pinto, I., Lennard, C., Tadross, M., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G., Panitz, H.-J. and Shongwe, M. 2015. Evaluation and projections of extreme precipitation over southern Africa from two CORDEX models. Climatic Change, Springer Netherlands, 2015, 1-14, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1573-1.

Shongwe, M.E., Lennard, C., Liebmann, B., Kalognomou, E-A., Ntsangwane, L., and Pinto, I. 2015. An evaluation of CORDEX regional climate models in simulating precipitation over Southern AfricaAtmospheric Science Letters Vol 16 199-207.

Struyf, E., Mosimane, K., Van Pelt, D., Murray-Hudson, M., Meire, P., Frings, P., Wolski P., Schaller, J., Gondwe, M.J., Schoelynck, J., Conley, D. J. 2014. The Role of Vegetation in the Okavango Delta Silica Sink. Wetlands, 35(1), 171–181. http://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-014-0607-1.

Teweldemedhin, M.Y., Durand, W., Crespo, O., Beletse, Y.G., and Nhemachena, C. 2015. Economic impact of climate change and benefit of adaptations for maize production: Case from Namibia, Zambezi region. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics Vol 7 (2) 61-71

Thito, K., Wolski, P., and Murray-Hudson, M. 2015. Spectral reflectance of floodplain vegetation communities of the Okavango DeltaWetlands Ecology and Management Vol 23 637-648.

Ylhaisi, J., Garre, L., Daron, J., and Raisanen, J. 2015. Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making. Local Environment Vol 20 (7) 811-835.

Zinyengerea, N., Crespo, O., Hachigonta, S. and Tadross, M. 2015. Crop model usefulness in drylands of southern Africa: an application of DSSAT. South African Journal of Plant and Soil DOI:10.1080/02571862.2015.1006271.

 

2014

Abatan, A.A., Abiodun, B.J., Omotosho, B.J. 2014. On the characteristics of sea breezes over Nigerian coastal regionTheoretical and Applied Climatology 116, 93-102

Abiodun, B.J., Ojumu, A. M., Jenner, S. and Ojumu, T. V. 2014. Transport of atmospheric NOx and HNO3 over Cape TownAtmos. Chem. Phys. 14, 559–575

Angélil, O., Stone, D.A., and Pall, P. 2014. Attributing the probability of South African weather extremes to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Spatial characteristicsGeophysical Research Letters, 41

Angelil O., Stone D., Tadross M., Tummon F., Wehner M., Knutti R. 2014. Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(6), 2150-2155

Araujo, J.A., Abiodun, B.J. and Crespo, O. 2014. Impacts of drought on grape yields in Western Cape, South AfricaTheoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI10.1007/s00704-014-1336-3.

Daron, J.D. 2014. Challenges in using a Robust Decision Making approach to guide climate change adaptation in South AfricaClimatic Change

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2014. Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate. Climate Risk Management 1, 76-91

Daron, J.D. and Colenbrander, D.R. 2014. A critical investigation of evaluation matrices to inform coastal adaptation and planning decisions at the local scale. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management

Frings, P.J., De La Rocha, C., Struyf, E., van Pelt, D., Schoelynck, J., Murray-Hudson M., Gondwe, M.J., Wolski, P., Mosimane, K., Gray, W., Schaller, J., Conley, D.J. 2014. Tracing silicon cycling in the Okavango Delta, a sub-tropical flood-pulse wetland using silicon isotopesGeochimica et Cosmochimica Acta. Volume 142, 1 October 2014, Pages 132–148

Kgathi, D.L., Mmopelwa, G., Vanderpost, C., Wolski, P., Motsholapheko, M.R., 2014. Impacts of desiccation on ecosystem services and household adaptation in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. Biodivers. Ecol. 5, 263–277

Kolawole, O.D., Wolski, P., Ngwenya, B. and Mmopelwa, G. 2014. Ethno-meteorology and scientific weather forecasting: Small farmers and scientists’ perspectives on climate variability in the Okavango Delta, BotswanaClimate Risk Management

Kolawole, O.D., Wolski, P., Ngwenya, B., Mmopelwa, G. and Thakadu, O. 2014. Responding to climate change through joint partnership: Insights from the Okavango Delta of Botswana. World Journal of Science, Technology and Sustainable Development, Vol. 11 Iss: 3, pp.170 – 181

Lawal, K.A.,  Stone, D.A.,  Aina, T.,  Rye, C. and Abiodun, B.J. 2014. Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa. International Journal of Climatology.  DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234

Lotter D., Archer van Garderen E., Tadross M., Valentine A.J. 2014 in press. Seasonal variation in the nitrogen nutrition and carbon assimilation in wild and cultivated Aspalathus linearis (rooibos tea). Australian Journal of Botany

Lotter D., Valentine A.J., Archer van Garderen E., Tadross M. 2014. Physiological responses of a fynbos legume, Aspalathus linearis to drought stress. South African Journal of Botany. 94. 218-223

Matthew, O.J, Abiodun, B.J, and Salami, A.T. 2014. Modelling the impacts of climate variability on crop yields in Nigeria: performance evaluation of RegCM3‐GLAM system. Meteorological Applications

Meque, A, and Abiodun, B.J 2014. Simulating the link between ENSO and summer drought in Southern Africa using regional climate models. Climate Dynamics

Mladenov, N., Wolski, P., Hettiarachchi, G.H., Murray-Hudson, M., Enriquez, H., Damaraju, S., Galkaduwa, M.B., McKnight, D.M. and Masamba W. 2014. Abiotic and biotic factors influencing the mobility of arsenic in groundwater of a through-flow island in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. Journal of Hydrology Volume 518, Part C

Mounkaila, M.S, Abiodun, B.J, and Omotosho, J.B 2014. Assessing the capability of CORDEX models in simulating onset of rainfall in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Murray-Hudson, M., Wolski, P., Cassidy, L., Brown, M.T., Thito, K., Kashe, K., Mosimanyana, E., 2014. Remote Sensing-derived hydroperiod as a predictor of floodplain vegetation composition. Wetl. Ecol. Manag.

Murray-Hudson, M., Wolski, P., Murray-Hudson, F., Brown, M.T., Kashe, K. 2014. Disaggregating Hydroperiod: Components of the Seasonal Flood Pulse as Drivers of Plant Species Distribution in Floodplains of a Tropical WetlandWetlands

Nzotungicimpaye, C-M, Abiodun, B.J, and Steyn, D.G. 2014. Tropospheric ozone and its regional transport over Cape Town. Atmospheric Environment. 87, 228-238

Oguntunde, P.G., Lischeid, G., Abiodun, B.J., and Dietrich, O. 2014. Analysis of spatial and temporal patterns in onset, cessation and length of growing season in NigeriaAgricultural and Forest Meteorology 194 (2014): 77-87

K. Thito, K., Wolski, P. and Murray-Hudson, M. 2014. Spectral reflectance of floodplain vegetation communities of the Okavango DeltaWetlands Ecology and Management. DOI 10.1007/s11273-014-9403-1.

Tozuka, T., Abiodun B.J., and Engelbrecht, F.A. 2014. Impacts of convection schemes on simulating tropical-temperate troughs over southern AfricaClimate Dynamics, 42(1-2), 433-451

Ujeneza, E.L., Abiodun, B.J. 2014. Drought regimes in Southern Africa and how well GCMs simulate themClimate Dynamics

Wolski, P., Stone, D., Tadross, M., Wehner, M. and Hewitson, B. 2014. Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology 511, 350-358

Ylhäisi, J.S., Garrè, L., Daron, J. and Räisänen, J. 2014. Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making. Local Environment 

Ziervogel, G., New, M., van Garderen, E.A., Midgley, G., Taylor, A., Hamann, R., Stuart-Hill, S., Myers, J. and Warburton, M. 2014. Climate change impacts and adaptation in South AfricaWIREs Clim Change 2014. doi: 10.1002/wcc.295

Zinyengere, N., Crespo, O.,  Hachigonta, S. and Tadross, M. 2014. Local impacts of climate change on agronomic practices on dry land crops in Southern Africa.  Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 197 (2014) 1–10

 

2013

Abiodun, B.J, Lawal, K.A, Salami, A.T, and Abatan, A.A. 2013. Potential influences of global warming on future climate and extreme events in Nigeria. Regional Environmental Change, 13(3), 477-491.

Abiodun, B.J, Salami, A.T, Matthew, O.J, and Odedokun, S. 2013. Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria. Climate Dynamics, 41(2), 277-293

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2013. On predicting climate under climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3) 034021

Estes, L. D., Beukes, H., Bradley, B. A., Debats, S. R., Oppenheimer, M. G., Ruane, A. C., Schulze, R., Tadross, M. A. 2013. Projected climate impacts to South African maize and wheat production in 2055: A comparison of empirical and mechanistic modeling approaches. Global Change Biology.

Estes, L. D., Bradley, B. A., Beukes, H., Hole, D. G., Lau, M., Oppenheimer, M. G., Schulze, R., Tadross, M. A., Turner, W. R. (2013), Comparing mechanistic and empirical model projections of crop suitability and productivity: implications for ecological forecasting. Global Ecology and Biogeography.

Fasona, M., Tadross M., Abiodun B.J., Omojola A. 2013. Some implications of terrestrial ecosystems response to climate change for adaptation in Nigerian wooded savannah. Environmental Development 5, 73-95.

Frame, D.J. and Stone, D.A. 2013. Assessment of the first consensus prediction in climate changeNature Climate Change, 3, 337-359.

Gbobaniyi, E., Sarr, A., Bamba Sylla, M., Diallo, I., Lennard, C., Dosio, A., Dhi´ediou, A., Kamga, A., Browne Klutse, N.A., Hewitson, B., Nikulin, G. and Lamptey, B. 2013. Climatology, annual cycle and interannual variability of precipitation and temperature in CORDEX simulations over West Africa. International Journal of Climatology.

Hewitson, B.C., Daron, J., Crane, R. G., Zermoglio, F. and Jack, C. 2013. Interrogating empirical-statistical downscaling. Climatic Change.

Hussen Seid Endris, Philip Omondi, Suman Jain, Christopher Lennard, Bruce Hewitson, Ladislaus Chang’a, J. L. Awange, Alessandro Dosio, Patrick Ketiem, Grigory Nikulin, Hans-Jürgen Panitz, Matthias Büchner, Frode Stordal, Lukiya Tazalika. 2013. Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa RainfallJournal of Climate

Jenner, S.L. and Abiodun, B. J. 2013. The transport of atmospheric sulfur over Cape Town. Atmospheric Environment, 79, 248-260.

Kalognomou, E., Lennard, C., Shongwe, M., Pinto, I., Favre, A., Kent, M., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G., Panitz, H. and  Büchner, M. 2013. A diagnostic evaluation of precipitation in CORDEX models over southern Africa. Journal of Climate.

Kim J, Waliser DE, Mattmann C, Goodale C, Hart A, Zimdars P, Crichton D, Jones C, Nikulin G, Hewitson B, Jack C, Lennard C, Favre A. 2013. Evaluation of the surface climatology in the CORDEX-Africa multi-RCM hindcast experiment using the JPL-UCLA Regional Climate Model Evaluation System (RCMES). Climate Dynamics.

MacKellar, N.C.,  S. J. Dadson M. New, and P. Wolski. 2013. Evaluation of the JULES land surface model in simulating catchment hydrology in Southern AfricaHydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,10, 11093–11128

Mladenov, N., Wolski, P., Hettiarachchi, G.M., Murray-Hudson, M., Enriquez, H., Damaraju, S., Galkaduwa, M.B., McKnight, D.M., Masamba, W., 2013. Abiotic and biotic factors influencing the mobility of arsenic in groundwater of a through-flow island in the Okavango Delta, BotswanaJ. Hydrol.

Mustelin, J., N. Kuruppu, A. Matus Kramer, J. Daron, K. de Bruin and A. Guerra-Noriega. 2013. Climate adaptation research for the next generation. Climate and Development

Stott, P.A., M. Allen, N. Christidis, R.M. Dole, M. Hoerling, C. Huntingford, P. Pall, J. Perlwitz, and D. Stone.  2013.  Attribution of weather and climate-related events.  In: Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities, Eds. G. R. Asrar, J. W. Hurrell, Springer Science+Business Media, Dordrecht 307-337.

Zinyengere, N., O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, 2013. Crop response to climate change in Southern Africa: A comprehensive reviewGlobal and Planetary Change

 

2012

Abiodun, B.J., Lawal, K.A., Salami, A.T. and Abatan, A.A. 2012. Potential influences of global warming on future climate and extreme events in NigeriaRegional Environmental Change.

Abiodun, B.J.  Z.D. Adeyewa, P.G. Oguntunde, A.T Salami and V.O Ajayi (2012) Modelling the Impacts of Reforestation on Future Climate in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 110, 77 – 96.

Abiodun, B.J.  Salami A.T., Mathew O.J. and Odedokun O (2012) Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria. Climate Dynamics 

Eckardt, F.D., Soderberg, K., Coop, L.J., Muller, A.A., Vickery, K.J., Grandin, R.D., Jack, C., Kapalanga, T.S. and Henschel, J. 2012. The nature of moisture at Gobabeb, in the central Namib DesertJournal of Arid Environments, pp. 1-13.

Favre A, Hewitson B, Tadross M, Lennard C, Cerezo-Mota R. 2012. Relationships between Cut-off Lows and the Semiannual and Southern OscillationsClimate Dynamics, Vol. 38, pp. 1473-1487.

Favre A, Hewitson B, Lennard C, Cerezo-Mota R, Tadross M. 2012. Cut-off Lows in the South African region and their contribution to precipitation. Climate Dynamics.

Frame, D. J., and D. A. Stone. 2012. Assessment of the first consensus prediction on climate change? Nature Climate Change.

Mahongo, S.B., Francis, J. and Osima, E. 2012. Wind Patterns of Coastal Tanzania: Their Variability and TrendsWestern Indian Ocean Journal of Marine Science 10 (2) 107-120.

Oguntunde, P.G., Abiodun, B.J. and Lischeid 2012. Spatial and temporal temperature trends in Nigeria, 1901-2000. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 118, 95-105

Oguntunde, PG and Abiodun, B.J 2012. The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa. Climate Dynamics

Oguntunde, P. G., Abiodun, B.J., Lischeid, G. and Merz, C. 2012. Modelling the impacts of reforestation on the projected hydroclimatology of Niger River Basin, West Africa. Ecohydrol.

Rowlands, D.J. et al. 2012. Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensembleNature Geoscience 5. 256-260.

Wiid, N and Ziervogel, G. 2012. Adapting to climate change in South Africa: commercial farmers’ perception of and response to changing climate. South African Geographical Journal, Vol 94(2).

Wolski P., Todd M.C., Murray-Hudson M.A. & Tadross M. 2012. Multidecadal variability in hydro-climate of Okavango river system, southwest Africa, in the past and under changing climate. Journal of Hydrology, Volume 475   

 

2011

Abiodun, B.J., Gutowski, W., Abatan, A.A. and Prusa, J.M. 2011. CAM-EULAG: A non-hydrostatic atmospheric climate model with grid stretchingActa Geophysica, 59(6): 1158-1167.

Angélil, O., D. A. Stone and P. Pall. 2011. Attributing the risk of South African weather extremes to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: spatial characteristicsGeophy. Res. Lett., , submitted.

Cerezo-Mota, R. , Allen, M. and Jones, R. 2011. Mechanisms controlling precipitation in the Northern portion of the North American monsoon.  American Meterological Society, 24 (11), pp 2771-2783.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, P2q hierarchical decomposition algorithm for quantile optimization: application to irrigation strategies designAnnals of Operations Research, Vol.190, No.1, pp. 375-387, 2011.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, P2 hierarchical decomposition procedure: application to irrigation strategies designOperational Research, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 19-39, 2011. 

O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, M. Tadross, Sensitivity of southern African maize yields to the definition of sowing dekad in a changing climateClimatic Change, Vol. 106, No. 2, pp. 267-283, 2011.

Fasona M., Tadross M., Abiodun B.J., Omojola A. (2011) Local Climate Forcing and Eco-Climatic Complexes in the Wooded Savannah of Western Nigeria.  Natural Resources 2, 155-166 

Gbobaniyi, O. Abiodun, B.J. Tadross, M.A. Hewitson, B.C and Gutowski, W.J. 2011. The coupling of cloud base height and surface fluxes: a transferability intercomparisonTheoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 106, pp. 189-210

Kay, A.L., Crooks, S.M., Pall, P. and Stone, D.A. 2011. Attribution of Autumn/Winter 200 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: A Catchment-based studyJournal of Hydrology, 406:97-112.

Oguntunde, P.G., Abiodun, B.J. and Lischeid, G. 2011. Rainfall trends in Nigeria, 1901-200Journal of Hydrology, 411: 207-218.

Parnell, S. and Walawege, R.P. 2011. Sub-Saharan African ubanisation and global environmental changeGlobal Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 21S:S12-S20.

Philippon N, Rouault M, Richard Y, Favre A. 2011. The influence of ENSO on South Africa winter rainfallInternational Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3403.

Quinn, C.H., Ziervogel, G., Taylor, A., Takama, T. and Thomalla, F. 2011. Coping with multiple stresses in Rural South Africa. Ecology and Society, 16(3): ES-04216-160302 (20 pages).

Stone, D. A. and R. Knutti. 2011. Weather and climateIn: Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources, , 200pp.

Stone, D. A., C. Lennard, M. Tadross, M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott and P. Pall. 2011. A weather risk attribution forecast system for Africa and the worldBulletin of the American Meteorological Institute, , submitted.

Wågsæther, K. and G. Ziervogel. 2011. Bridging the communication gap: an exploration of the climate science–water management interfaceEnvironment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 53, 32-43.

 

2010

J.E. Bergez, O. Crespo, F. Garcia, M.H. Jeuffroy, C. Loyce, W. Sadok, Designing crop management systems by simulationEuropean Journal of Agronomy, 2010, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 3-9.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, Multiobjective optimization subject to uncertainty: application to irrigation strategy management, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, October 2010, Vol. 74, No. 1, pp. 145-154.

Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P.J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson and L. Mearns. 2010. Good practice guidance paper on assessing and combining multi model climate projections. , , .

MacKellar, N. C., M. A. Tadross and B. C. Hewitson. 2010. Synoptic-based evaluation of climate response to vegetation change over southern AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 30, 774-789.

Patt, A. G., M. Tadross, P. Nussbaumer, K. Asante, M. Metzger, Rafael, J. Goujon, A. and G. Brundrit. 2010. Estimating least-developed countries’ vulnerability to climate-related extreme events over the next 50 yearsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Stott, P. A., N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, D. J. Karoly, D. A. Stone, X. Zhang and F. Zwiers. 2010. Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspectiveWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1, 10.1002/wcc.34.

M. Tadross, I. Oliveira, M. Mdoka, F. Tummon, G. Maure, N. MacKellar, N. Browne, O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, B. Hewitson, Modelling the influence of vegetation, soil moisture and aerosols on early summer Southern African climate, Water Research Commission report no 1681/1/10, ISBN 978-1-77005-976-4, May 2010, South Africa.

Ziervogel, G. and P. Ericksen. 2010. Adapting to climate change to sustain food securityWIRES Climate Change, 1, 525-540.

Ziervogel, G., P. Johnston, M. Matthew and P. Mukheibir. 2010. Using climate information for supporting climate change adaptation in water resource management in South AfricaClimatic Change, 103, 537-554, 10.1007/s10584-009-9771-3.

Ziervogel, G., M. Shale and M. Du. 2010. Climate change adaptation in a developing country context: the case of urban water supply in Cape TownClimate and Development, 2, 94-110.

 

2009

Archer, E.R.M. and Tadross, M.A. 2009. Climate change and desertification in South Africa – science and response. African Journal of Range and Forage Science, 26: 127-131.

Archer, E.R.M., Conrad,J., Munch, Z., Opperman, D., Tadross, M.A. and Venter, J. 2009. Climate change, groundwater and intensive commercial farming in the semi-arid northern Sandveld, South Africa. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 6(2): 139-155.

Lumsden, D.B., Schulze, R.E. and Hewitson, B.C. 2009. Evaluation of potential changes in hydrological relevant statistics of rainfall in Southern Africa under conditions of climate change. Water SA, 35: 649-656 .

MacKellar, N. C., M. A. Tadross and B. C. Hewitson. 2009. Effects of vegetation map change in MM5 simulations of southern Africa’s summer climateInternational Journal of Climatology, 29, 885-898. 

O’Brien, K., T. Quinlan and G. Ziervogel. 2009. Vulnerability interventions in the context of multiple stressors: lessons from the Southern Africa Vulnerability Initiative (SAVI)Environmental Science and Policy, 12, 23-32. 

Steynor, A, Hewitson, B and Tadross, M. 2009. Projections of Future Runoff in the Breede River under Climate Change.  Water SA. 35: 433-440. 

Stone, D. A., M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott, P. Pall, S.-K. Min, T. Nozawa and S. Yukimoto. 2009. The detection and attribution of human influence on climateAnnual Review of Environment and Resources, 34, 1-16. 

Tadross, M., P. Suarez, A. Lotsch, S. Hachigonta, M. Mdoka, L. Unganai, F. Lucio, D. Kamdonyo and M. Muchinda. 2009. Growing-season rainfall and scenarios of future change in southeast Africa: implications for cultivating maizeClimate Research, 40, 147-161.

Wilby, R. L., J. Troni, Y. Biot, K. Tedd, B. C. Hewitson, D. M. Smith and R. T. Sutton. 2009. A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planningInternational Journal of Climatology, 29, 1193-1215.

Ziervogel, G. and F. Zermoglio. 2009. Climate change scenarios and the development of adaptation strategies in Africa: challenges and opportunitiesClimate Research, 40, 133-146. 

 

2008

Hachigonta, S., Reason, C.J.C. and Tadross, M.A. 2008. An analysis of onset date and rainy season duration over Zambia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 91: 229-243. 

Hagemann, K.. 2008. Mesoscale wind atlas of South Africa. , , .

Johnston, P.. 2008. The uptake and utility of seasonal forecasting products for commercial maize farmers in South Africa. , , . 

P. Johnston, D.B. Louw, O. Crespo and T.G. Lumsden, Quantifying the Costs, Benefits and Risks Associated with Climate Risk for Water Resource Development – Planning and Management Alternatives associated with Berg River Catchment Area Case Study (South Africa) – Moving Best Samples into Good Practice, Chapter 9, pp. 175-188. In Petermann, T. (Editor) 2008. Towards Climate Change Adaptation – Building Adaptive Capacity in Managing African Transboundary River Basins. InWEnt, Zschortau, Germany.

Suarez, P., F. Ching, G. Ziervogel, I. Lemaire, D. Turnquest, J. Mendler de Suarez and B. Wisner. 2008. Video-mediated approaches for community-level climate adaptationIDS Bulletin, 39, 96-104. 

Ziervogel, G., A. Cartwright, A. Tas, J. Adejuwon, F. Zermoglio, M. Shale and B. Smith. 2008. Climate change and adaptation in African agriculture

Ziervogel, G. and S. Drimie. 2008. The integration of support for HIV and AIDS and livelihood security: district level institutional analysis in southern AfricaPopulation and Environment, 28, 3-4.

Ziervogel, G. and A. Taylor. 2008. Feeling stressed: integrating climate adaptation with other priorities in South AfricaEnvironment, 50, 32-41.

Ziervogel, G., A. Taylor, S. Hachigonta and J. Hoffmaister. 2008. Climate adaptation in southern Africa: addressing the needs of vulnerable communities

 

2007

Alam, S. J., R. Meyer, G. Ziervogel and S. Moss. 2007. The impact of HIV/AIDS in the context of socioeconomic stressors: an evidence-driven approachJournal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 10, 7.

Hachigonta, S., C. J. C. Reason and M. Tadross. 2007. An analysis of onset date and rainy season duration over ZambiaTheoretcal and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-007-0306-4. 

Johnston, P., G. Ziervogel and M. Matthew. 2007. The uptake and usefulness of weather and climate forecast information among water resource managers in the SW Cape region of South Africa. , 30, 380-389.

MacKellar, N. C.. 2007. Simulating the effects of land-surface change on southern Africa’s climate. , , .

MacKellar, N. C., B. C. Hewitson and M. A. Tadross. 2007. Namaqualand’s climate: recent historical changes and future scenariosJournal of Arid Environments, 70, 604-614 .

Mukheibir, P. and G. Ziervogel. 2007. Developing a municipal adaptation plan (MAP) for climate change: the City of Cape TownEnvironment and Urbanisation, 19, 143-158. 

Thomas, D. S. G., C. Twyman, H. Osbahr and B. Hewitson. 2007. Adaptation to climate change and variability: farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South AfricaClimatic Change, 83, 301-322.

 

2006

Hachigonta, S. and C. J. C. Reason. 2006. Interannual variability in dry and wet spell characteristics over ZambiaClimate Research, 32, 49-62. 

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2006. Consensus between GCM climate change projections with empirical downscaling: precipitation downscaling over South AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 26, 1315-1337. 

Reason, C. J. C., F. Engelbrecht, W. A. Landman, J. R. E. Lutjeharms, S. Piketh, C. J. de W. Rautenbach and B. C. Hewitson. 2006. A review of South African research in atmospheric science and physical oceanography during 2000-2005South African Journal of Science, 102, 35-45. 

Ziervogel, G., S. Bharwani and T. E. Downing. 2006. Adapting to climate variability: pumpkins, people and policyNatural Resources Forum, 30, 294-305.

 

2005

Bharwani, S., M. Bithell, T. E. Downing, M. New, R. Washington and G. Ziervogel. 2005. Multi-agent modelling of climate outlooks and food security on a community garden scheme in Limpopo, South AfricaPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 360, 2183-2194.

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2005. Gridded area-averaged daily precipitation via conditional interpolationJournal of Climate, 18, 41-57.

Midgley, G. F., R. A. Chapman, B. Hewitson, P. Johnston, M. De Wit, G. Ziervogel, P. Mukheibir, L. Van Niekerk, M. Tadross, B. W. Van Wilgen, B. Kgope, P. D. Morant, A. Theron, R. J. Scholes and G. G. Forsyth. 2005. A status quo, vulnerability and adaptation assessment of the physical and socio-economic effects of climate change in the Western CapeCSIR Report No. ENV-S-C 2005-073.

Reason, C. J. C., S. Hachigonta and R. F. Phaladi. 2005. Interannual variability in rainy season characteristics over the Limpopo region of southern AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 25, 1835-1853.

Tadross, M., C. Jack and B. Hewitson. 2005. On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climateGeophysical Research Letters, 32, L23713, 10.1029/2005GL024460.

 

2004

Ziervogel, G. 2004. Targeting seasonal climate forecasts for integration into household level decisions: the case of smallholder farmers in LesothoThe Geographical Journal, 170, 6-21.

Ziervogel, G. and T. E. Downing. 2004. Stakeholder networks: improving seasonal climate forecastsClimatic Change, 65, 73-101. 

 

2003

Hewitson, B. 2003. Developing perturbations for climate change impact assessmentsEos, 84, 337-341.

New, M., R. Washington, C. Jack and B. Hewitson. 2003. Sensitivity of southern African climate to soil-moistureCLIVAR Exchanges, 8, 45-47.

 

2002

Barrable, A., M. E. Meadows and B. C. Hewitson. 2002. Environmental reconstruction and climate modelling of the Late Quaternary in the winter rainfall region of the Western Cape, South AfricaSouth African Journal of Science, 98, 611-616.

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2002. Self-organising maps: applications to synoptic climatologyClimate Research, 22, 13-26.