2023

Cowell, C.R., Lughadha, E.N., Anderson, P.M.L., Leão, T., Williams, J. and Annecke, W.A., 2023. Prioritising species for monitoring in a South African protected area and the red list for plants. Biodiversity and conservation 32p19–137.

Coughlan de Perez, E., Fuentes, I., Jack, C., Kruckiewicz, A., Pinto, I. andStephens, E., 2023. Different types of drought under climate change or geoengineering: Systematic review of societal implication. Frontiers in climate., 4.

Dlamini, L., Crespo, O., Van Dam J. and Kooistra, L., 2023. A Global systematic review of Improving Crop Model Estimations by Assimilating Remote Sensing Data: Implications for small-scale Agricultural Systems. Remote Sensing 15, no. 16: 4066. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15164066

Egbebiyi, T.S., Lennard, C., Pinto, I., Mukwenha, P., Wolski, P., Quagraine, K.A. and Oguninyi, J.E., 2023. Potential Impact of climate change on Cropland Suitability in Africa using CMIP6 Models, EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14347, 2023.

Egbebiyi, T. S., Lennard, C., Pinto, I., Odoulami, R., Wiolski, P. and Tilmes, S. How will Solar Radiation Modification affect Cropland Suitability in West Africa? EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-703, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-703, 2023.

Howard, K., Henneke, F., Chalwin-Milton, O.J., Oosthuizen, C.J., Johnston, P. and Bayliss, K.L., 2023. Plasma activated water offers food security opportunities by increasing shelf life of freshwater fisheries products in South Africa. Food Sec. 15, 839–853 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-022-01334-4.

Karan, R., Mowlds, S., McKeown, P.C., Lundy, M. and Spillane, C., Data for decision-making for sustainable food systems transformation in the Eastern Cape of South Africa–what is needed?Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems7, p.1243466.

Liu, Z., Eden, J.M., Dieppois, B., Conradie, W.S. and Blackett, M., 2023. The April 2021 Cape Town Wildfire: Has Anthropogenic Climate Change Altered the Likelihood of Extreme Fire Weather?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(1), pp.E298-E304.

Marghidan, C.P., van Aalst, M., Blanford, J., Guigma, K., Pinto, I., Maure, G. and Marrufo, T., 2023. Heatwaves in Mozambique (1983)–2016: Characteristics, trends and city-level summaries using high-resolution CHIRTS-daily. Weather and Climate Extremes, p.100565.

McClure, A. Enablers of transdisciplinary collaboration for researchers working on climate risks in African cities. Sustain Sci (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-023-01426-w

McClure, A., Patel, Z., Ziervogel, G. and Hardman, J., 2023. Exploring the role of transdisciplinary learning for navigating climate risks in African cities: The case of Lusaka, Zambia. Environmental Science & Policy, 149, p.103571.

Nkrumah, F., Klein, C., Quagraine, K. A., Berkoh-Oforiwaa, R., Klutse, N. A. B., Essien, P., Quenum, G. M. L. D., and Koffi, H. A.: Classification of large-scale environments that drive the formation of mesoscale convective systems over southern West Africa, Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 773–788, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-773-2023, 2023.

Nonki, R.M., Amoussou, E., Lennard, C., Lenouo, A., Tshimanga, R.M. and Houndenou, C., 2023. Quantification and allocation of uncertainties of climate change impacts on hydropower potential under 1.5 ◦C and 2.0 ◦C global warming levels in the headwaters of the Benue River Basin, Cameroon. Renewable energy 215 (2023) 118979.

Odulami, R.C., Wolski, P., and New, M., 2023. Attributing the driving mechanisms of the 2015-2017 drought in the Western Cape (South Africa) using self-organising maps. Enironmental research letters,18 (7), 074043. 

Otto, F.E., Zachariah, M., Saeed, F., Siddiqi, A., Kamil, S., Mushtaq, H., Arulalan, T., AchutaRao, K., Chaithra, S.T., Barnes, C. and Philip, S., 2023. Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan. Environmental Research: Climate, 2(2), p.025001.

Patel, T.D., Odoulami, R.C., Pinto, I., Egbebyi, T.S., Lennard, C, Abiodun, B.J. and New,M., 2023. Potential impact of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on projected temperature and precipitation extremes in South Africa. Environ. Res.: Climate 2 035004

Pinto, I., Coughlan de Perez, E., Jaime, C., Wolski, P., van Aardenne, L., Jjemba, E.W., Suidman, J., Capdevila-Serrat, A. and Tall, A., 2023. Climate change projections from a multi-model ensemble of CORDEX and CMIPs over Angola. Environmental Research: Climate.

Pörtner H-O, DC Roberts, H Adams, I Adelekan, C Adler, R Adrian, P Aldunce, E Ali, R Ara Begum, B Bednar-Friedl, R Bezner Kerr, R Biesbroek, J Birkmann, K Bowen, MA Caretta, J Carnicer, E Castellanos, TS Cheong, W Chow, G Cissé, S Clayton, A Constable, S Cooley, MJ Costello, M Craig, W Cramer, R Dawson, D Dodman, J Efitre, M Garschagen, EA Gilmore, B Glavovic, D Gutzler, M Haasnoot, S Harper, T Hasegawa, B Hayward, JA Hicke, Y Hirabayashi, C Huang, K Kalaba, W Kiessling, A Kitoh, R Lasco, J Lawrence, MF Lemos, R Lempert, C Lennard, D Ley, T Lissner, Q Liu, E Liwenga, S Lluch-Cota, S Löschke, S Lucatello, Y Luo, B Mackey, K Mintenbeck, A Mirzabaev, V Möller, M Moncassim Vale, MD Morecroft, L Mortsch, A Mukherji, T Mustonen, M Mycoo, J Nalau, M New, A Okem, JP Ometto, B O’Neill, R Pandey, C Parmesan, M Pelling, PF Pinho, J Pinnegar, ES Poloczanska, A Prakash, B Preston, M-F Racault, D Reckien, A Revi, SK Rose, ELF Schipper, DN Schmidt, D Schoeman, R Shaw, NP Simpson, C Singh, W Solecki, L Stringer, E Totin, CH Trisos, Y Trisurat, M van Aalst, D Viner, M Wairu, R Warren, P Wester, D Wrathall, Z Zaiton Ibrahim., 2022. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 37-118). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781009325844.002

Quiroz, N.F., Gibson, L., Conradie, W.S., Ryan, P., Heydenrych, R., Moran, A., van Straten, A. and Walls, R., 2023. Analysis of the 2017 Knysna fires disaster with emphasis on fire spread, home losses and the influence of vegetation and weather conditions: A South African case studyInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, p.103618

Takong, R.R. and Abiodun, B.J., 2023. Stimulating widespread extreme rainfall events over the Drakensberg with WRF and MPAS models. Modeling Earth systems and Environment9pages3503–3516. 

Taylor, A., Methner, N., Barkai, K.R., McClure, A., Jack, C., New, M. and Ziervogel, G., 2023. Operationalising climate-resilient development pathways in the Global South. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

Trisos, C.H., Adelekan, I.O., Totini, E., Ayanlande, A., Eftire, J., Gemeda, A., Kalaba, K., Lennard, C., Masao, C., Mgaya, Y., Ngaruiya, G., Olago, D., Simpson, N.P., Zakieldeen, S., 2023. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Africa. In: Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2023:1285-1456. doi:10.1017/9781009325844.011

Schneider, k., Fanzo, J., Haddad, L., Herrero, M., Moncayo R,J., Herforth, A., Roseline,R., Alejandro,G., Resnick, D., Covi,N., Christophe, B., Cattaneo, A., Aburto,N., Ramya,A., Destan,A., Simon,B., Lennard,J.B., Beal, T., Molina,B.P, Carlo,C., Campeau, C.,  Caron,P.,  Conforti,P., Damerau,K., DiGirolamo ,M., DeClerck ,F., Dewi,D., Elouafi, I., Fabi,C., Foley,P., Frazier Ty , Gephart ,J., Golden, F.G.C., Hendriks, S., Honorati, M., Huang ,J., Kennedy, G., Laar, A., Lal, R., Lidder, P., Loken, B., Marshall, Q., Masuda, Y., McLaren, R., Miachon, L., Muñoz, H., Nordhagen, S., Qayyum,N., Saisana, M., Suhardiman, D., Sumaila ,R., Cullen, T.M., Tubiello, F., Vivero-Pol J,L., Webb, P. and Wiebe, K., 2023. The State of Food Systems Worldwide: Counting Down to 2030. General Economics (econ.GN)

Shackleton, S., Taylor, A., Gammage, L., Gillson, L., Sitas, N., Methner, N., Barmand, S., Thorn, J., McClure, A., Cobban, L. and Jarre, A., 2023. Fostering transdisciplinary research for equitable and sustainable development pathways across Africa: what changes are needed?. Ecosystems and People.

Steynor, A. Pasquini, L., 2023. Exploring East African climate change risk perceptions to inform effective climate services. Climate Services, 32(2023)100419. 

Tall, M., Sylla, M.B., Dajuma, A., Almazroui, M., Houteta, D.K., Klutse, N.A.B., Dosio, A., Lennard, C., Driouechi, A. and Giorgi, F., 2023. Drought variability, changes and hot spots across the African continent during the historical period (1928-2017). International Journal of climatology 43(14). 

Tang, C., Mailhe, P., Pohl, B., Mroel, B., Wild,M., Koseki, S., Abiodun, B., Bessafi, M., Lennard, C., Kumar Beehary, G., Lollchund, R., Cunden, T.S.M. and Singh, S., 2023. Intraseasonal and synoptic modulation of diurnal surface solar radiation over Reunion Island in the South-West Indian Ocean. Solar Energy 262 (2023) 111856. 

Visioni, D., Kravitz, B., Robock, A., Tilmes, S., Haywood, J., Boucher, O., Lawrence, M., Irvine, P., Niemeier, U., Xia, L., Chiodo, G., Lennard, C., Watanable, S., Moore, J.C. and Muri, H., 2023. Opinion: The scientific and community-building roles of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) past, present and future. Atmospheric Chemistry Physics, 23, 5149–5176, 2023.

Willem A Landman, Mark Tadross, Emma Archer and Peter Johnston (2023). Probabilistic vs deterministic forecasts – interpreting skill statistics for the benefit of users., Water SA, 49(3 July). doi: 10.17159/wsa/2023.v49.i3.4058.

Zvobgo, L., Johnston, P., Olagbegi, O.M., Simpson, N.P. and Trisos, C.H., 2023. Role of Indigenous and local knowledge in seasonal forecasts and climate adaptation: a case study of smallholder farmers in Chiredzi, Zimbabwe. Environmental Science & Policy, 145, pp.13-28.

2022

Ayinde, A.F.O., P.A. Johnston, O.O. Olujimi, P. Dasgupta and D. Akerele. 2022. Perception of cassava-based farmers to climate variability in the rain forest and derived savannah biomes of Nigeria. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 38(5): 43-52.

Chilambwe A, Crespo O, Chungu D, 2022. Climate change impacts on maize and soybean yields in Zambia. Agronomy Journal, Vol.114(4), pp.2430-2444. https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21092.

Conradie​​​​​​​, W. S., Wolski, P., and Hewitson, B. C.: Spatial heterogeneity of 2015–2017 drought intensity in South Africa’s winter rainfall zone, Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 8, 63–81, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-8-63-2022, 2022.

Conradie, W. S., Wolski, P., and Hewitson, B. C.: Spatial heterogeneity in rain-bearing winds, seasonality and rainfall variability in southern Africa’s winter rainfall zone, Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 8, 31–62, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-8-31-2022, 2022.

Coughlan de Perez, E., Berse, K.B., Depante, L.A.C., Easton-Calabria, E., Evidente, E.P.R., Ezike, T., Heinrich, D., Jack, C., Lagmay, A.M.F.A., Lendelvo, S., Marunye, J., Maxwell, D.G., Murshed, S.B., Orach, C.G., Pinto, M., Poole, L.B., Rathod, K., Shampa, Van Sant. C., 2022. Learning from the past in moving to the future: Invest in communication and response to weather early warnings to reduce death and damage. Climate risk management 38, 100461

Daniels, T., Fearon, G., Vilaplana, A., Hewitson, B. and Rautenbach, C., 2022. On the importance of wind-generated waves in embayments with complex orographic features–A South African case studyApplied Ocean Research128, p.103355.

De Perez, E.C., Berse, K.B., Depante, L.A.C., Easton-Calabria, E., Evidente, E.P.R., Ezike, T., Heinrich, D., Jack, C., Lagmay, A.M.F.A., Lendelvo, S. and Marunye, J., 2022. Learning from the past in moving to the future: Invest in communication and response to weather early warnings to reduce death and damageClimate Risk Management38, p.100461.

Diouf,I., Adeola A.M., Abiodun, G.J., Lennard, C., Shirinde, J.M., Yaka, P., Ndione, J.A. and Gbobaniyi. E., 2022. Impact of future climate change on malaria in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2022) 147:853–865

Dosio, A., Lennard, C. & Spinoni, J. 2022. Projections of indices of daily temperature and precipitation based on bias-adjusted CORDEX-Africa regional climate model simulationsClimatic Change 170, 13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03307-0

Harrington, L.J., Wolski, P., Pinto, I., Ramarosandratana, A.M., Barimalala, R., Vautard, R., Philip, S., Kew, S., Singh, R., Heinrich, D. and Arrighi, J., 2022. Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019-21. Environmental Research: Climate.

Hennen, M., Chapell, A., Webb,N., Schepanski, K., Baddock, M., Eckdart, F., Kandakji, T., Lee, J., Nobakht, J. and Holdt, V.J., 2020. Evaluating dust emission model performance using dichotomous satellite observations of dust emission, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2021-423, 2022.

Holden, P.B., Rebelo, A.J., Wolski, P. et al. Nature-based solutions in mountain catchments reduce impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought streamflow. Commun Earth Environ 3, 51 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00379-9

Kareem, B., McClure, A., Walubwa, J., Koranteng, K., Mukwaya, P.I. and Taylor, A., 2022. Power dynamics in transdisciplinary research for sustainable urban transitionsEnvironmental Science & Policy131, pp.135-142.

Kimutai, J., New, M., Wolski, P. and Otto, F., 2022. Attribution of the human influence on heavy rainfall associated with flooding events during the 2012, 2016, and 2018 March-April-May seasons in Kenya. Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, p.100529.

Meque, A., Pinto, I., Maúre, G. and Beleza, A., 2022. Understanding the variability of heatwave characteristics in southern Africa. Weather and Climate Extremes, p.100498.

Mkuhlani, S., Zinyengere, N., Kumi, N. and Crespo, O., 2022. Lessons from integrated seasonal forecast-crop modelling in Africa: A systematic review. Open Life Sciences17(1), pp.1398-1417.

N’Datchoh, E.T, Kouadio, K., Silué S, Bamba A, Naabil E, Djè K B, Diedhiou A, Sylla M B, Anquetin S. and Lennard, C., 2022. Potential changes in temperature extreme events under global warming at 1.5 C and 2 C over Cote d’Ivoire. Environ. Res.: Climate 1(2022) 015007.

Lawal, S., Stitch, S., Lombardozzi, D., Nabel, J.E.M., Wey, H.W., Friedlingstein, P., Tian, H. and Hewiston, B., 2023. Investigating the response of leaf area index to droughts in Southern African vegetation using observations and model stimulations. Hydrology and Earth System Science,26, 2045–2071, 2022

Rusere, F., Dicks, L.V., Mkuhlani, S. and Crespo, O., 2022. Integrating a crop model with a greenhouse gas calculator to identify low carbon agricultural intensification options for smallholder farmers in rural South AfricaClean Technologies and Environmental Policy, pp.1-18.

Selinga, T., Maseko, S.T., Gabier, H., Rafudeen, M., Musaya, A.M., Crespo, O., Ogola, J.B.O., Valentine, A.J., Ottosen, C.O., Rosenqvist, E., and Chimphango, S.B., 2022. Regulation and physiological function of proteins for heat tolerance in cowpea (Vigna unguiculata) genotypes under controlled and field conditions. Front. Plant Sci.,13, 2022.  

Sesethu Fikileni, & Piotr Wolski. (2022). Framework for implementation of the Pitman-WR2012 model in seasonal hydrological forecasting: a case study of Kraai River, South Africa. Water SA48(1 January). https://doi.org/10.17159/wsa/2022.v48.i1.3891

Steynor, A. and Pasquini, L., Using a climate change risk perceptions framing to identify gaps in climate services. Frontiers in Climate(4), p.64., 2022.,https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fclim.2022.782012

Stone, D. A., K. A. Lawal, C. Lennard, M. Tadross, P. Wolski, and M. F. Wehner, 2022. The Life and Times of the Weather Risk Attribution Forecast. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, S1–S6. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0263.1

Tooth, S., McCarthy, T.S., Duller, G.A.T., Assine, M.L., Wolski, P. and Coetzee, G., 2022. Significantly enhanced mid Holocene fluvial activity in a globally important, arid-zone wetland: The Okavango Delta, Botswana. Earth surface processes and Landforms, 47(3) p854-871. 

Van der Schalie, R., van der Vliet, M., Albergel, C., Dorigo, W., Wolski, P., and de Jeu, R.: Characterizing natural variability in complex hydrological systems using Passive Microwave based Climate Data Records: a case study for the Okavango Delta, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-637, in review, 2022.

Visman, E., Vincent, K., Steynor, A., Karani, I. and Mwangi, E., 2022. Defining metrics for monitoring and evaluating the impact of co-production in climate services. Climate Services26, p.100297.

Ziervogel, G., Enqvist, J., Metelerkamp, L. and van Breda, J., 2022. Supporting transformative climate adaptation: community-level capacity building and knowledge co-creation in South Africa. Climate Policy, 22(5), pp.607-622.

Ziervogel, G., Lennard, C., Midgley, G., New, M., Simpson, N.P., Trisos, C.H. and Zvobgo, L., 2022. Climate change in South Africa: Risks and opportunities for climate-resilient development in the IPCC Sixth Assessment WGII Report. South African Journal of Science118(9/10).

Zvobgo, L., Johnston, P., Williams, P.A. et al. The role of indigenous knowledge and local knowledge in water sector adaptation to climate change in Africa: a structured assessment. Sustain Sci (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01118-x

2021

Abba Omar, S. and Abiodun, B.J. 2021. Simulating the characteristics of cut-off low rainfall over the Western Cape using WRF. Climate Dynamics 56, 1265–1283. 

Abba Omar, S. and Abiodun, B.J. 2021. Simulating the influence of topography on cut-off lows over Southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology,  41(S1), pp. E2231–E2243

Ballo, A., Omotosho, J.B., Klutse, N.A.B., Abiodun, B.J. and Coulibaly, A. 2021. The influence of quasi-biennial oscillation on West African Rainfall. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-021-01185-6

Celliers, L., Scott, D., Ngcoya, M. et al. 2021. Negotiation of knowledge for coastal management? Reflections from a transdisciplinary experiment in South Africa. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 8, 207.

Conway, D. and Vincent, K. (Eds.). 2021. Climate Risk in Africa. Adaptation and Resilience. 10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6

Dosio, A., Jury, M.W., Almazroui, M. Ashfaq, M., Diallo, I., Engelbrecht, F.A., Klutse, N.A.B., Lennard, C., Pinto, I., Sylla, M.B. and Tamoffo, A.T. 2021. Projected future daily characteristics of African precipitation based on global (CMIP5, CMIP6) and regional (CORDEX, CORDEX-CORE) climate models. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05859-w

Durand W, Cammarano D, Crespo O, Mpusaing T, Ngwenya H, Fourie A, Tesfuhuney WA. 2021. Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on the Staple Baskets of Botswana and South Africa. Chap 4 in: Rosenzweig C, Mutter CZ, Contreras EM (Eds), Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems, pp. 115-215, World Scientific.

Ficchì, A., Cloke, H., Neves, C., Woolnough, S., Coughlan de Perez, E.,Zsoter, E., Pinto, I., Meque, A. and Stephens, E. 2021. Beyond El Niño: Unsung climate modes drive African floods. Weather and Climate Extremes (2021), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100345.

Harrington, L.J., Wolski, P., Pinto, I. et al. 2021. Attribution of severe low rainfall in southern Madagascar, 2019-21. World Weather Attribution.

Homann-Kee Tui S, Descheemaeker, K., Valdivia, R.O. et al. Climate change impacts and adaptation for dryland farming systems in Zimbabwe: a stakeholder-driven integrated multi-model assessment. Climatic Change 168, 10 (2021).

Homann-Kee Tui S, Masikati P, Descheemaeker K, Sisito G, Francis B, Senda T, Crespo O, Moyo EN, Valdivia RO. 2021. Transforming Smallholder Crop–Livestock Systems in the Face of Climate Change: Stakeholder-Driven Multi-Model Research in Semi-Arid Zimbabwe. Chap 5 in: Rosenzweig C, Mutter CZ, Contreras EM (Eds), Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems, pp. 115-215, World Scientific.

Jameson, S., Baud, I., Peyroux, E., & Scott, D. 2021. The urban governance configuration: A conceptual framework for understanding complexity and enhancing transitions to greater sustainability in cities. Geography Compass. https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12562

Kam, J., Min, S-K., Wolski, P. and Kug, J-S. 2021. CMIP6 Model-Based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on the Long Sustained Western Cape Drought over 2015–19. American Meteorological Society. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0159.1.

Klutse, N.A.B., Quagraine, K.A., Nkrumah, F., Quagraine, K.T., Berkoh-Oforiwaa, R., Dzrobi, J.F. and Sylla, M.B. 2021. Climatic Analysis of Summer Monsoon Extreme Precipitation Events over West Africa in CMIP6 SimulationsEarth Syst Environ. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-021-00203-y

Lawal, S., Hewitson, B., Egbebiyi, T.S. and Adesuyi, A. 2021. On the suitability of using vegetation indices to monitor the response of Africa’s terrestrial ecoregions to drought. Science of The Total Environment, Volume 792.

Maoyi, M.L. and Abiodun, B.J. 2021. How well does MPAS-atmosphere simulate the characteristics of the Botswana High?. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05797-7

Moore, L., Steynor, A., Waagsaether, K.L., Spires, M. and Marie, A. 2021. Exploring the opportunities and constraints to the development of locally applicable water management technology in three sub-Saharan African cities. Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 120, Pages 108-117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2021.02.010.

Mupangwa W, Nyagumbo I, Liben F, Chipindu L, Craufurd P. and Mkuhlani S, 2021. Maize yields from rotation and intercropping systems with different legumes under conservation agriculture in contrasting agro-ecologies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 306, art.107170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2020.107170

Simpson, N.P., Andrews, T.M., Krönke, M., Lennard, C., Odoulami, R.C., Ouweneel, B., Steynor, A. & Trisos, C.H. 2021. Climate change literacy in Africa. Nature Climate Change. doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01171-x

Steynor, A., Pasquini, L., Thatcher, A. and Hewitson, B. 2021. Understanding the Links Between Climate Change Risk Perceptions and the Action Response to Inform Climate Services Interventions. Risk Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13683

Senior, C.A., Marsham, J.H., Berthou, S. et al. 2021. Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in AfricaBulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Taylor, A., Jack, C., McClure, A., Bharwani, S., Ilunga, R. and Kavonic, J. 2021.Understanding and supporting climate-sensitive decision processes in southern African cities. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, V51/52:77–84.

Taylor, A., Pretorius, L., McClure, A., Iipinge, K.N., Mwalukanga B. and Mamombe, R. 2021. Embedded researchers as transdisciplinary boundary spanners strengthening urban climate resilience. Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 126.

Thondhlana, G., Mubaya, C.P., McClure, A., Amaka-Otchere, A.B.K. and Ruwanza, S. 2021. Facilitating Urban Sustainability through Transdisciplinary (TD) Research: Lessons from Ghana, South Africa and Zimbabwe. Sustainability. 13(11):6205. 

Verschuur, J., Li, S., Wolski, P. and Otto, F.E.L. 2021. Climate change as a driver of food insecurity in the 2007 Lesotho-South Africa drought. Scientific Reports 11, 3852.

2020

Abba Omar, S. and Abiodun, B.J. 2020. Characteristics of cut-off lows during the 2015–2017 drought in the Western Cape, South Africa. Atmospheric Research 235,104772

Cammarano D, Valdivia RO, Beletse YG, Durand W, Crespo O, Tesfuhuney WA, Jones MR, Walker S, Mpuisang TN, Nhemachena C, Ruane AC, Mutter C, Rosenzweig C and Antle J, 2020. Integrated assessment of climate change impacts on crop productivity and income of commercial maize farms in northeast South Africa. Food Security, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-020-01023-0

Dosio A, Turner A, Tamoffo AT, Sylla MB, Lennard C, Jones R, Terray L, Nikulin G and Hewitson B, 2020. A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of Regional Climate Models. Environmental Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7fde

Egbebiyi TS, Crespo O, Lennard C, Zaroug M, Nikulin G, Harris I, Price J, Forstenhäusler N and Warren R, 2020. Investigating the potential impact of 1.5, 2 and 3°C global warming levels on crop suitability and planting season over West Africa. PeerJ Life & Environment, art.8:e8851, https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.8851

Eckardt FD, Bekiswa S, Von Holdt JR, Jack C, Kuhn NJ, Mogane F, Murray JE, Ndara N, Palmer AR, 2020. South Africa’s agricultural dust sources and events from MSG SEVIRI. Aeolian Research 47, art.100637. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeolia.2020.100637

Fučkar, N.S., Otto, FEL., Lehner, F., Pinto, I., Howard, E., Sparrow, S., Li, S and Wallom, D. 2020. On High Precipitation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Zambia in February 2018. DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0162.1

Gudoshava, M., Misiani, H., Segele, Z., Jain, S., Ouma, J., Otieno, G., Anyah, R., Indasi, V., Endris, H.S., Osima, S.E. and Lennard, C., 2020. Projected effects of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels on the intra-seasonal rainfall characteristics over the Greater Horn of Africa. Environmental Research Letters, Vol.15(3), https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b33

Holleman, C., Rembold, F., Crespo, O. & Conti, V. 2020. The impact of climate variability and extremes on agriculture and food security – An analysis of the evidence and case studies. Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2018. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Technical Study No. 4. Rome, FAO.

International Science Council (ISC), 2020. Advancing the 2030 Agenda in African cities through knowledge co-production: Urban experiments led by early-career African scientists. International Science Council, Paris. DOI: 10.24948/2020.01

Iturbide, M., Gutiérrez, J. M., Alves, L. M., Bedia, J., Cimadevilla, E., Cofiño, A. S., Cerezo-Mota, R., Di Luca, A., Faria, S. H., Gorodetskaya, I., Hauser, M., Herrera, S., Hewitt, H. T., Hennessy, K. J., Jones, R. G., Krakovska, S., Manzanas, R., Marínez-Castro, D., Narisma, G. T., Nurhati, I. S., Pinto, I., Seneviratne, S. I., van den Hurk, B., and Vera, C. S. 2020. An update of IPCC climate reference regions for subcontinental analysis of climate model data: Definition and aggregated datasets, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2019-258, in review

Jack, C.D., Jones, R.,Burgin, L. and Daron J. 2020. Climate Risk Narratives: An iterative reflective process for co-producing and integrating climate knowledge. Climate Risk Management. doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100239.

Kumi, N., Abiodun, B.J. and Adefisan, E.A. 2020. Performance Evaluation of a Sub‐seasonal to Seasonal Model in Predicting Rainfall Onset over West Africa. Earth and Space Science, pp. e2019EA000928-T.

Landman WA, Archer ER, Tadross M, 2020. Citizen Science for the Prediction of Climate Extremes in South Africa and Namibia. Frontiers in Climate 2:5. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2020.00005

Lawal, S., Sitch, S., Lombardozzi, D., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Wey, H-W., Friedlingstein, P., Tian, H. and Hewitson, B. 2020. Investigating the response of LAI to droughts in southern African vegetation using observations and model-simulations. Hydrology and Earth System Science. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-528

Lee ATK, Barnard P, Fraser M, Lennard C, Smit B, Oschadleus HD, 2020. Body mass and condition of a fynbos bird community: investigating impacts of time, weather and raptor abundance from long-term citizen- science datasets. Ostrich 91(2). https://doi.org/10.2989/00306525.2019.1683093

MacAlister D, Muasya AM, Crespo O, Ogola JBO, Maseko S, Valentine AJ, Ottosen CO, Rosenqvist E and Chimphango SBM, 2020. Stress tolerant traits and root proliferation of Aspalathus linearis (Burm.f.) R. Dahlgren grown under differing moisture regimes and exposed to drought. South African Journal of Botany, Vol.131, pp.342-350, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sajb.2020.03.003

MacAlister D, Muasya AM, Crespo O, Ogola JB, Maseko ST, Valentine AJ, Ottosen C, Rosenqvist E and Chimphango SB, 2020. Effect of temperature on plant growth and stress tolerant traits in rooibos in the Western Cape, South Africa. Scientia Horticulturae, Vol.263, art.109137, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scienta.2019.109137

Makonya GM, Ogola JBO, Muasya AM, Crespo O, Maseko S, Valentine AJ, Ottosen CO, Rosenqvist E, Chimphango SBM, 2020. Intermittent moisture supply induces drought priming responses in some heat‐tolerant chickpea genotypes. Crop Science 60 (5). https://doi.org/10.1002/csc2.20228

Mkuhlani, S., Crespo, O., Rusere, F., Zhou, L. and Francis, J., 2020. Classification of small-scale farmers for improved rainfall variability management in South Africa. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems, Vol.44(1), pp.7-29, https://doi.org/10.1080/21683565.2018.1537325

Mupangwa W, Chipindu L, Nyagumbo I, Mkuhlani S and Sisito G, 2020. Evaluating machine learning algorithms for predicting maize yield under conservation agriculture in Eastern and Southern Africa. SN Applied Sciences Vol.2, art.952, https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-2711-6

Mupangwa W, Nyagumbo I, Liben F, Chipindu L, Craufurd P, Mkuhlani S, 2021. Maize yields from rotation and intercropping systems with different legumes under conservation agriculture in contrasting agro-ecologies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 306, art.107170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2020.107170

Odoulami RC, New M, Wolski P, Guillemet G, Pinto I, Lennard C, Muri H, Tilmes S, 2020. Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering could lower future risk of ‘Day Zero’ level droughts in Cape Town. Environmental Research Letters 15 (12). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbf13

Odoulami RC, Wolski P, New M, 2020. A SOM‐based analysis of the drivers of the 2015–2017 Western Cape drought in South Africa. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6785

Oguntunde, P.G., Abiodun, B.J., Lischeid, G. and Abatan, A.A. 2020. Droughts projection over the Niger and Volta River basins of West Africa at specific global warming levels. International Journal of Climatology

Otto, F.E.L., Harrington, L., Schmitt, K., Philip, S., Kew, S., Jan van Oldenborgh, G., Singh, R., Kimutai, J. and Wolski, P.. 2020. Challenges to understanding extreme weather changes in lower income countries. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0317.1.

Pasquini, L., van Aardenne, L., Godsmark, C. N., Lee, J. and Jack, C. 2020. Emerging climate change-related public health challenges in Africa: A case study of the heat-health vulnerability of informal settlement residents in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Science of The Total Environment, doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141355.

Pinto, I., Jack, C., Lennard, C., Tilmes, S. and Odoulami, R.C., 2020. Africa’s Climate Response to Solar Radiation Management with Stratospheric Aerosol. Geophysical Research Letters.

Quagraine, K.A., Hewitson, B., Jack, C., Wolski, P., Pinto, I. and Lennard, C., 2020. Using Co-Behavior Analysis to Interrogate the Performance of CMIP5 GCMs over Southern Africa. Journal of Climate.

Quagraine, K.A., Nkrumah, F., Klein, C., Klutse, N.A.B. and Quagraine, K.T.  2020 West African Summer Monsoon Precipitation Variability as Represented by Reanalysis Datasets. Climate8, 111.

Rusere, F., Crespo, O., Dicks, L., Mkuhlani, S., Francis, J. and Zhou, L., 2020. Enabling acceptance and use of ecological intensification options through engaging smallholder farmers in semi-arid rural Limpopo and Eastern Cape, South Africa. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems, Vol.44(6), pp.696-725.

Sawadogo, W., Reboita, M.S., Faye, A., da Rocha, R.P., Odoulami, R.C., Olusegun, C.F., Adeniyi, M.O., Abiodun, B.J., Sylla, M.B., Diallo, I. and Coppola, E., 2020. Current and future potential of solar and wind energy over Africa using the RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE ensemble. Climate Dynamics, pp.1-26.

Spinoni J, Barbosa P, Bucchignani E, Cassano J, Cavazos T, Christensen JH, Christensen OB, Coppola E, Evans J, Geyer B, Giorgi F, Hadjinicolaou P, Jacob D, Katzfey J, Koenigk T, Laprise R, Lennard CJ, Kurnaz ML, Li D, Llopart M, McCormick N, Naumann G, Nikulin G, Ozturk T, Panitz HJ, da Porfirio RR, Rockel B, Solman SA, Syktus J, Tangang F, Teichmann C, Vautard R, Vogt JV, Winger K, Zittis G, Dosio A, 2020. Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data. Journal of Climate 33 (9). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0084.1

Steynor, A., Lee, J., and Davison, A. 2020. Transdisciplinary co-production of climate services: a focus on process. Social Dynamics, DOI: 10.1080/02533952.2020.1853961

Steynor A., Leighton M., Kavonic J., Abrahams W., Magole L., Kaunda S., and Mubaya CP., 2020. Learning from climate change perceptions in southern African cities. Climate Risk Management, Vol.27, art.100202, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2019.100202

Vimont, U., Gain, J., Lastic, M., Cordonnier, G., Abiodun, B.J and Cani, M.P., 2020. Interactive Meso-scale Simulation of Skyscapes. In Computer Graphics Forum (Vol. 39, No. 2).

Vincent, K., Carter, S., Steynor, A., Visman, E., and Wågsæther, K., 2020. Addressing power imbalances in co-production. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00910-w.

Williams, P.A., Crespo, O. and Abu, M. 2018. Assessing vulnerability of horticultural smallholders’ to climate variability in Ghana: applying the livelihood vulnerability approach. Environment, Development and Sustainability vol.22, pp.2321–2342. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0292-y

Williams PA, Ng’ang’a SK, Crespo O, Abu M, 2020. Cost and benefit analysis of adopting climate adaptation practices among smallholders: The case of five selected practices in Ghana. Climate Services 20, art.100198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100198

Wolski, P., Conradie, S., Jack, C., and Tadross, M. 2020. Spatio‐temporal patterns of rainfall trends and the 2015‐2017 drought over the winter rainfall region of South Africa. International Journal of Climatology, joc.6768.

Wolski, P., Lobell, D., Stone, D., Pinto, I., Crespo, O. and Johnston, P. 2020. On the role of anthropogenic climate change in the emerging food crisis in Southern Africa in the 2019‐2020 growing season. Global Change Biology, Vol.26(5), letter to the editor, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15047

2019

Abiodun, B.J., Mogebisa, T.O., Petja, B., Abatan, A.A. and Roland, T.R., Potential impacts of specific global warming levels on extreme rainfall events over southern Africa in CORDEX and NEX‐GDDP ensembles. International Journal of Climatology.

Akinyemi, F.O. & Abiodun, B.J. 2019. Potential impacts of global warming levels 1.5 °C and above on climate extremes in BotswanaClimatic Change https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02446-1 

Archer, E., Landman, W., Malherbe, J., Tadross, M. and Pretorius, S., 2019. South Africa’s winter rainfall region drought: A region in transition?. Climate Risk Management, 25, p.100188.

Borie, M., Ziervogel, G., Taylor, F.E., Millington, J.D., Sitas, R. and Pelling, M., 2019. Mapping (for) resilience across city scales: An opportunity to open-up conversations for more inclusive resilience policy?. Environmental Science & Policy, 99, pp.1-9.

Bopape, M.M., Engelbrecht, F., Abiodun, B., Beraki, A., Ndarana, T., Ntsangwane, L., Sithole, H., Sovara, M. & Witi J. 2019. Programme for the development of weather and climate numerical modelling systems in South Africa. S Afr J Sci. 115(5/6). 

Chao Tang, C., Morel, B., Wild, M., Pohl, B., Abiodun, B., Lennard, C. & Bessafi, M. 2019. Numerical simulation of surface solar radiation over Southern Africa. Part 2: projections of regional and global climate models. Climate Dynamics https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04817-x. 

Conway, D., Nicholls, R.J., Brown, S., Tebboth, M.G.L., Adger, W.N., Ahmad, B., Biemans, H., Crick, F., Lutz, A.F., De Campos, R.S., Said, M., Singh, C., Zaroug, M.A.H., Ludi, E., New, M., & Wester, P. 2019. The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nature Climate Change volume 9, pages 503–511. 

Daron, J., Burgin, L., Janes, T., Jones, R. G., & Jack, C. (2019) Climate process chains: examples from Southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.6106

Dorse, C., Wood, J., Scott, D. and Paterson, A., 2019. The Dassenberg Coastal Catchment Partnership: a governance approach to promoting ecosystem-based adaptation and climate-resilient protected areas expansion in Cape Town. Mainstreaming Climate Change in Urban Development: Lessons from Cape Town.

Dosio, A., Jones, R.G., Jack, C., Lennard, C., Nikulin, G. and Hewitson, B., 2019. What can we know about future precipitation in Africa? Robustness, significance and added value of projections from a large ensemble of regional climate models. Climate Dynamics, 53(9-10), pp.5833-5858.

Egbebiyi, T.S., Lennard, C., Crespo, O., Mukwenha, P., Lawal, S. and Quagraine, K., 2019. Assessing Future Spatio-Temporal Changes in Crop Suitability and Planting Season over West Africa: Using the Concept of Crop-Climate Departure. Climate, 7(9), p.102. doi.org/10.3390/cli7090102

Glisan, J.M., Jones, R., Lennard, C., Castillo Pérez, N.I., Lucas‐Picher, P., Rinke, A., Solman, S. and Gutowski Jr, W.J., 2019. A metrics‐based analysis of seasonal daily precipitation and near‐surface temperature within seven Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment domains. Atmospheric Science Letters, 20(5), p.e897.

Gore, M., Abiodun, B.J. and Kucharski, F., 2019. Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY. Climate Dynamics, pp.1-21.

Hansen, J., Furlow, J., Goddard, L., Nissan, H., Vaughan, C., Rose, A., Fiondella, F., Braun, M., Steynor, A., Jack, C., Chinowsky,P., Thomson, M., Baethgen, W., Dinku, T., Senato, A. Y., Phuong, D. M., Huq, S. and Ndiaye, O. 2019. Scaling Climate Services to Enable Effective Adaptation Action. Rotterdam and Washington, DC.

Hunter R, Crespo O (2019) Large Scale Crop Suitability Assessment Under Future Climate Using the Ecocrop Model: The Case of Six Provinces in Angola’s Planalto Region, In: Rosenstock T., Nowak A., Girvetz E. (eds) The Climate-Smart Agriculture Papers. Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-319-92798-5_4. 

Hunter, Roland; Christopher, Jack; New, Mark; Aardenne, Lisa van; McClure, Alice; Steynor, Anna; et al. (2019): National Climate Change Profiles:Enhancing the capacity of African countries to use climate information to inform decision making. figshare. Dataset.

Jack, C. & Katragkou, E. 2019. Evaluation of downscaling methods over Europe: Results of the EU‐COST action VALUE. International Journal of Climatology, 39: 3689-3691. doi:10.1002/joc.6184.

Kalina, M. and Scott, D., 2019. ‘Governo Papa’and the’uncritical citizen’: citizenship, subjectness, and the state in northern Mozambique. Transformation: Critical Perspectives on Southern Africa, 98(1), pp.27-53.

Kalina, M. and Scott, D., 2019. You have to say everything is nice here. Qualitative Research Journal.

Lawal K, Abiodun B, Stone DA, Olaniyan E, Wehner MF, 2019. Capability of CAM5.1 in simulating maximum air temperature patterns over West Africa during boreal spring. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Vol.5, pp.1815-1838. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-019-00639-2

Lawal, S., Lennard, C. and Hewitson, B., 2019. Response of southern African vegetation to climate change at 1.5 and 2.0° global warming above the pre-industrial level. Climate Services, p.100134.

Lawal, S., Lennard, C., Jack, C., Wolski, P., Hewitson, B. & Abiodun, B. 2019. The observed and model-simulated response of southern African vegetation to drought. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Volume 279. doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107698.

Makonya, G.M., Ogola, J.B., Muasya, A.M., Crespo, O., Maseko, S., Valentine, A.J., Ottosen, C.O., Rosenqvist, E. and Chimphango, S.B., 2019. Chlorophyll fluorescence and carbohydrate concentration as field selection traits for heat tolerant chickpea genotypes. Plant Physiology and Biochemistry, 141, pp.172-182.

Masikati P, Descheemaeker K, Crespo O (2019) Understanding the Role of Soils and Management on Crops in the Face of Climate Uncertainty in Zimbabwe: A Sensitivity Analysis, In: Rosenstock T., Nowak A., Girvetz E. (eds) The Climate-Smart Agriculture Papers. Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-319-92798-5_5. 

Mkuhlani S, Mupangwa W, Nyagumbo I, 2019. Maize Yields in Varying Rainfall Regimes and Cropping Systems Across Southern Africa: A Modelling Assessment, in: W.L. Filho and R. Leal-Arcas (Eds), University Initiatives in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-89590-1_12

Molepo, K. M., Abiodun, B.J. & Magoba, R.N. 2019. The transport of PM10 over Cape Town during high pollution episodesAtmospheric Environment, Volume 213.

Naik, M. & Abiodun, B.J. 2019. Projected changes in drought characteristics over the Western Cape, South Africa. Meteorological Applications.

Nikulin, G. and Hewitson, B., 2019. A simple set of indices describing the Tropical Rain Belt over central and southern Africa. Atmospheric Science Letters, 20(12), p.e946.

Nguvava, M., Abiodun, B.J. & Otieno, F. 2019. Projecting drought characteristics over East African basins at specific global warming levelsAtmospheric Research Volume 228.

Nonki, R.M., Lenouo, A., Lennard, C.J. and Tchawoua, C., 2019. Assessing climate change impacts on water resources in the Benue River Basin, Northern Cameroon. Environmental Earth Sciences, 78(20), p.606.

Pasquini, L. 2019. The urban governance of climate change adaptation in least-developed African countries and in small cities: the engagement of local decision-makers in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Karonga, MalawiClimate and Development, DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2019.1632166 

Quagraine, K.A., Hewitson, B., Jack, C., Pinto, I. & Lennard, C. 2019. A Methodological Approach to Assess the Co-Behavior of Climate Processes over Southern AfricaJournal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0689.1. 

Rusere, F., Mkuhlani, S., Crespo, O. and Dicks, L.V., 2019. Developing pathways to improve smallholder agricultural productivity through ecological intensification technologies in semi-arid Limpopo, South Africa. African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, 11(5), pp.543-553.

Sawadogo, W., Abiodun, B.J., & Okogbue, E.C. 2019.  Projected changes in wind energy potential over West Africa under the global warming of 1.5 °C and aboveTheoretical and Applied Climatology. 

Sawadogo, W., Abiodun, B.J. and Okogbue, E.C., 2019. Impacts of global warming on photovoltaic power generation over West Africa. Renewable Energy.

Scott, D., Taylor, A., Davies, H. and New, M., 2019. Reflections on the mainstreaming of climate change in urban development decision-making in the City of Cape Town. Mainstreaming Climate Change in Urban Development: Lessons from Cape Town.

Steynor, A. & Pasquini, L. 2019. Informing climate services in Africa through climate change risk perceptions. Climate Services. doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100112.

Steynor, A., Leighton, M., Kavonic, J., Abrahams, W., Magole, L., Kaunda, S. and Mubaya, C.P., 2019. Learning from climate change perceptions in southern African cities. Climate Risk Management, p.100202.

Stone, D.A., Christidis, N., Folland, C., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Perlwitz, J., Shiogama, H., Wehner, M.F., Wolski, P., Cholia, S., Krishnan, H., Murray, D., Angélil, O., Beyerle, U., Ciavarella, A., Dittus, A., Quan, X-W. & Tadross, M. 2019. Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution project. Weather and Climate Extremes, Volume 24. doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100206.

Tamoffo, A.T., Moufouma-Okia, W., Dosio, A., James, R., Pokam, W.M., Vondou, D.A., Fotso-Nguemo, T.C., Guenang, G.M., Kamsu-Tamo, P.H., Nikulin, G. and Longandjo, G.N., 2019. Process-oriented assessment of RCA4 regional climate model projections over the Congo Basin under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming levels: influence of regional moisture fluxes. Climate Dynamics, 53(3-4), pp.1911-1935.

Taylor, A., 2019. Managing stormwater and flood risk in a changing climate: Charting urban adaptation pathways in Cape Town. Mainstreaming Climate Change in Urban Development: Lessons from Cape Town, pp.224-241.

Taylor, A. and Davies, H., 2019. An overview of climate change and urban development in Cape Town. Mainstreaming Climate Change in Urban Development: Lessons from Cape Town.

Temitope S. Egbebiyi., Olivier Crespo and Chris Lennard. 2019. Defining Crop–climate Departure in West Africa: Improved Understanding of the Timing of Future Changes in Crop Suitability. Climate doi:10.3390/cli7090101

O’Farrell, P., Anderson, P., Culwick, C., Currie, P., Kavonic, J., McClure, A., Ngenda, G., Sinnott, E., Sitas, N., Washbourne, C.L. and Audouin, M., 2019. Towards resilient African cities: Shared challenges and opportunities towards the retention and maintenance of ecological infrastructure. Global Sustainability, 2.

Omar, S.A. and Abiodun, B.J., 2019. Characteristics of cut-off lows during the 2015–2017 drought in the Western Cape, South Africa. Atmospheric Research, p.104772.

Vogel, C., Steynor, A., & Manyuchi, A. 2019. Climate services in Africa: Re-imagining an inclusive, robust and sustainable service. Climate Services. doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100107.

Williams, P.A., Crespo, O. and Abu, M., 2019. Adapting to changing climate through improving adaptive capacity at the local level–The case of smallholder horticultural producers in Ghana. Climate Risk Management, 23, pp.124-135.

Ziervogel, G. 2019. Building transformative capacity for adaptation planning and implementation that works for the urban poor: Insights from South AfricaAmbio. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-018-1141-9.

2018

Abera K., Crespo O., Seid J., Mequanen, F. (2018). Simulating the impact of climate change on maize production in Ethiopia, East Africa. Environmental Systems Research Vol.7(1). doi:10.1186/s40068-018-0107-z 

Abiodun, B.J., Makhanya, N., Petja, B., Abatan, A.A. and Oguntunde, P. G. 2018. Future projection of droughts over major river basins in Southern Africa at specific global warming levelsTheor Appl Climatol. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2693-0.

Dlamini, L. (2018). Engaging with local South Africa smallholder farming communities : a necessary effort for improving community preparedness to climate variability. Water Research Commission (WRC), Water Wheel 17, 39-41.

Descheemaeker K., Zijlstra M., Masikati P., Crespo O., Homann-Kee Tui S. (2018). Effects of climate change and adaptation on the livestock component of mixed farming systems: A modelling study from semi-arid Zimbabwe. Agricultural Systems, Vol.159, pp.282-295.

Dike, V.N., Addi, M., Andang’o, H.A., Attig, B.F., Barimalala, R., Diasso, U.J., Du Plessis, M., Lamine, S., Mongwe, P.N., Zaroug, M. and Ochanda, V.K. 2018. Obstacles facing Africa’s young climate scientistsNature Climate Change. Volume 8, pages 447–449.

Endris, H.S., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin G. and Artan G.A. (2018). Future changes in rainfall associated with ENSO, IOD and changes in the mean state over Eastern Africa. Clim. Dyn.

Johnston, P., & Chapman, A. 2018. Food and Water Management in Southern Africa. In The Oxford Handbook of Food, Water and Society. Oxford University Press.

Jordhus-Lier, D., A. Saaghus, D. Scott and G. Ziervogel (2018). Adaptation to flooding, pathway to housing or ‘wasteful expenditure’? Governance configurations and local policy subversion in a flood-prone informal settlement in Cape Town, Geoforum.

Kisembe, J., Favre, A., Dosio, A., Lennard, C., Sabiiti, G. and Nimusiima, A. (2018). Evaluation of rainfall simulations over Uganda in CORDEX regional climate models. Theor Appl Climatol. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2643-x.

Klutse N A B, Ajayi V, Gbobaniyi E O, Egbebiyi T S, Kouadio K, Nkrumah F, Quagraine K A, Olusegun C, Diasso U J, Abiodun B J, Lawal K A A, Nikulin G, Lennard C and Dosio A (2018) Potential impact of 1.5°C and 2°C global warming on consecutive dry and wet days over West Africa, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab37b.

Kumi, N. and Abiodun, B.J. 2018. Potential impacts of 1.5°C and 2°C global warming on rainfall onset, cessation and length of rainy season in West Africa. Environ. Res. Lett. in press doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab89e

Kim, Y. H., Min, S. K., Stone, D. A., Shiogama, H., & Wolski, P. (2018). Multi-model event attribution of the summer 2013 heat wave in Korea. Weather and climate extremes20, 33-44. 

Lennard C, Nikulin G, Dosio A and Moufouma-Okia W (2018) On the need for regional climate information over Africa under varying levels of global warming, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab37b.

Maure G A, Pinto I, Ndebele-Murisa M R, Muthige M, Lennard C, Nikulin G, Dosio A and Meque A O (2018) The southern African climate under 1.5° and 2°C of global warming as simulated by CORDEX models, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab190.

Muchadenyika, D. and Waiswa, J. 2018. Policy, politics and leadership in slum upgrading: A comparative analysis of Harare and Kampala. Cities. doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2018.05.005.

Murray-Hudson, M., Wolski, P., Brown, M.T. and Davidson, T. 2018. A suite of macrophyte species distribution models for investigating hydrology-driven spatial changes in a large flood-pulsed tropical wetland. South African Geographical Journal, DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2018.1541021

Nikulin G, Lennard C, Dosio A, Kjellström E, Chen Y, Hänsler A, Kupiainen M, Laprise R, Mariotti L, Fox Maule C, van Meijgaard E, Panitz H-J, Scinocca J F and Somot S (2018) The effects of 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming on Africa in the CORDEX ensemble, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab2b4.

Nkemelang, T., New, M. and Zaroug M.A.H. 2018. Temperature and precipitation extremes under current, 1.5°C and 2.0°C global warming above pre-industrial levels over Botswana, and implications for climate change vulnerabilityEnvironmental Research Letters. doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac2f8

Osima S.E., Indasi V., Zaroug M.A.H., Edris H., Gudoshava M., Misiani H., Nimusiima A., Anyah R., Otieno G., Ogwang B. 2018. Projected climate over the Greater Horn of Africa under 1.5 °С and 2°С global warmingEnvironmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaba1b

Pinto I, Jack C, Hewitson B. 2018. Process‐based model evaluation and projections over southern Africa from Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models. Int J Climatol. 38:4251–4261. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5666

Pokam Mba W, Longandjo G-N, Moufouma-Okia W, Bell J P, James R, Vondou D A D, Haensler A, Fotso Nguemo T C, Guenang G M, Djiotang Tchotchou A L, Kamsu-Tamo P H, Takong R R, Nikulin G, Lennard C and Dosio A (2018) Consequences of 1.5°C and 2°C global warming levels for temperature and precipitation changes over Central Africa, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab048.

Scott, D., Iipinge, K.N., Mfune, J.K.E., Muchadenyika, D., Makuti, O.V. and Ziervogel, G. 2018. The Story of Water in Windhoek: A Narrative Approach to Interpreting a Transdisciplinary ProcessWater 2018, 10(10), 1366; doi.org/10.3390/w10101366.

Vincent K., Steynor A., Waagsaether K. and Cull T. Communities of practice: One size does not fit allClimate Services. doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2018.05.004.

Wehner M., Stone D, Shiogama H., Wolski P., Ciavarella A., Christidis N., Krishnan H. 2018.  Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble. Weather and Climate Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.001.

Williams, P.A., Crespo, O., Abu, M. and Simpson, N.P. 2018. A systematic review of how vulnerability of smallholder agricultural systems to changing climate is assessed in AfricaEnvironmental Research Letters, in press. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae026.

Wolski, P. 2018, How severe is Cape Town’s “Day Zero” drought?. Significance, 15: 24-27. doi:10.1111/j.1740-9713.2018.01127.x

2017

Williams P.A., Crespo O., Essegbey G.O. (2017). Economic Implications of a Changing Climate on Smallholder Pineapple Production in Ghana. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development Vol.8(18).

Abatan AA, Abiodun BJ, Gutowski, WJ and Rasaq-Balogun, S. O. (2017). Trends and variability in absolute indices of temperature extremes over Nigeria: linkage with NAO. Int. J. Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.5196

Abatan AA, Osayomi T, Akande SO, Abiodun BJ, and Gutowski WJ (2017). Trends in mean and extreme temperatures over Ibadan, Southwest Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, DOI:10.1007/s00704-017-2049-1.

Abiodun, B.J., Adegoke, J., Abatan, A.A., Ibe, C.A., Egbebiyi, T.S., Engelbrecht, F. and Pinto, I., 2017. Potential impacts of climate change on extreme precipitation over four African coastal cities. Climatic Change, pp.1-15.

Angélil O., Stone D., Perkins-Kirkpatrick S., Alexander L.V., Wehner M., Shiogama H., Wolski P., Ciavarella A., Christidis N., 2017. On the nonlinearity of spatial scales in extreme weather attribution statements Climate Dynamics

Archer E., Landman W., Tadross M., Malherbe J., Weepener H., Maluleke P., MarumbwaF., 2017. Understanding the evolution of the 2014–2016 summer rainfall seasons in southern Africa: Key lessons Climate Risk Management, Volume 16, 2017, Pages 22-28

Blamey RC, Middleton C, Lennard C, Reason CJC. 2017. A climatology of potential severe convective environments across South AfricaClimate Dynamics. DOI10.1007/s00382-016-3434-7.

Cobon, D. H., W. E. Baethgen, W. Landman, A. Williams, E. Archer van Garderen, P. Johnston, J. Malherbe, P. Maluleke, I. Ben Kgakatsi, P. Davis 2017. Agroclimatology in Grasslands. In: J. L. Hatfield, M. V.K. Sivakumar, J. H. Prueger, editors, Agroclimatology: Linking Agriculture to Climate, Agron. Monogr. 60. ASA, CSSA, and SSSA, Madison, WI.

Masikati P., Homann Kee-Tui S., Descheemaeker K., Sisito G., Senda T., Crespo O., Nhamo N., 2017. Integrated Assessment of Crop–Livestock Production Systems Beyond Biophysical Methods: Role of Systems Simulation Models. Chapter 13 In: Smart Technologies for Sustainable Smallholder Agriculture – Upscaling in Developing Countries, pp.257-278

De Sherbinin, A., Apotsos, A. and Chevrier, J. 2017. Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa. The Geographical Journal. DOI: 10.1111/geoj.12226.

Hewitson, B.C., Waagsaether, K., Wohland, J., Kloppers, K., Teizeen, K., 2017: Climate Information Websites: an evolving landscape Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews (WIRE) Climate Change

James R, Washington R, Abiodun B, Kay G, Mutemi J, Pokam W, Hart N, Artan G, Senior C. 2017. Evaluating climate models with an African lens. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Landman W.A., Englebrecht F., Hewitson B., Malherbe J., van der Merwe J., 2017: Towards bridging the gap between climate change projections and maize producers in South Africa Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Maoyi ML, Abiodun BJ, Prusa JM, and Veitch JJ (2017): Simulating the characteristics of Tropical Cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model. Climate Dynamics pp 1–16. DOI:10.1007/s00382-017-3706-x

Mosimane, K. ,Struyf, E.,Gondwe, M.J., Frings, P., van Pelt, D., Wolski, P., Schoelynck, J.,Schaller, J.,Conley, D.J., Murray-Hudson, M., 2017. Variability in chemistry of surface and soil waters of an evapotranspiration-dominated flood-pulsed wetland: Solute processing in the okavango delta, Botswana Water SA, Volume 43, Issue 1, 2017, Pages 104-115

Nyamwanza A.M., New M.G., Fujisawa M., Johnston P., Hajat A., 2017. Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa, Climatic Change

Odoulami RC, Abiodun BJ, Ajayi AE, Diasso UJ, and Saley, MM (2017). Potential impacts of forestation on heatwaves over West Africa in the futureEcological Engineering 102, 546-556.

Oguntunde PG., Abiodun BJ, and Lischeid G (2017) Impacts of climate change on hydro-meteorological drought over the Volta Basin, West AfricaGlobal and Planetary Change. 155, 121 -132

Oguntunde, P.G., Lischeid, G. & Abiodun, B.J., 2017. Impacts of climate variability and change on drought characteristics in the Niger River Basin, West Africa. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-017-1484-y

Omar, S.A. and Abiodun, B.J. 2017. How well do CORDEX models simulate extreme rainfall events over the East Coast of South Africa? Theoretical and Applied Climatology pp 1-12. DOI 10.1007/s00704-015-1714-5.

Schoelynck J, Schaller J, Murray-Hudson M, Frings PJ, Conley DJ, van Pelt D, Mosimane K, Gondwe M, Wolski P, Meire P, Struyf E. 2017. The trapping of organic matter within plant patches in the channels of the Okavango Delta: a matter of qualityAquatic Sciences – Research Across Boundaries. 10.1007/s00027-017-0527-2.

Singh C, Daron J, Bazaz A, Ziervogel G, Spear D, Krishnaswamy J, Zaroug M, Kituyi E. 2017. The utility of weather and climate information for adaptation decision making: current uses and future prospects in Africa and India. Climate and Development (accepted)

Tadross M., Engelbrecht F., Jack Ch., Wolski P., Davis-Redd C., 2017. Projected Climate change futures for Southern Africa in C.L. Davis-Redd and K.Vincent (eds), Climate Risk and Vulnerability Handbook for Southern Africa, 2nd edition, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa. ISBN: 978-0-620-76522-0

Williams P.A., Crespo O., Atkinson Ch., Essegbey G., 2017. Impact of climate variability on pineapple production in Ghana. Agriculture & Food Security Vol.6(26)

Wolski, P., Jack, Ch., Tadross, M., van Aardenne, L., Lennard, Ch. 2017. Interannual rainfall variability and SOM-based circulation classification.Climate Dynamics

Wolski, P., C. Lennard, Jack, C., and Tadross, M. (2017). Seasonal hydrological forecasting – Current state of play. Water Wheel, 16(5): 30-33.

Wolski, P., Murray-Hudson, M., Thito, K., Cassidy, L., 2017. Keeping it simple: Monitoring flood extent in large data-poor wetlands using MODIS SWIR data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 57, pp. 224-234.

Somanje A.N., Crespo O., Zinyengere N., 2017. Conservation Agriculture Among Farmers in Kalomo, Zambia: Potential for Productivity Under Climate Change. Chapter 5, pp.77-99, In: Zinyengere N., Theodory T., Gebreyes M., Speranza C.I. (Eds), Beyond Agricultural Impacts – Multiple Perspectives on Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa.

Zinyengere N., Crespo O., 2017. Assessing Local Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Southern Africa: Critiquing an Approach. Chapter 2, pp.13-37, In: Zinyengere N., Theodory T., Gebreyes M., Speranza C.I. (Eds), Beyond Agricultural Impacts – Multiple Perspectives on Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa.

2016

Araujo, J.A., Abiodun, B.J. and Crespo, O. (2016). Impacts of drought on grape yields in Western Cape, South AfricaTheoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol.123(1-2), pp.117-130.

Rauser, F., Alqadi, M., Arowolo, S., Baker, N., Behrens, E., Bedard, J., Dogulu, N., Gatti Domingues, L., Frassoni, A., Keller, J., Kirkpatrick, S., Langendijk, G., Mohammad, S., Mirsafa, M., Naumann, A. K., Osman, M., Reed, K., Rothmüller, M., Schemann, V., Singh, A., Sonntag, S., Tummon, F., Victor, D., Villafuerte, M. Q., Walawender, J. P. & Zaroug, M., 2016. Earth System Science Frontiers-an ECS perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Schaller, J. Schoelynck, J. Murray-Hudson, M. Frings, P.J. van Pelt, D. Hegewald, T. Mosimane, K. Gondwe, M. Wolski, P. Meire, P. Struyf, E. 2016. Input, behaviour and distribution of multiple elements in abiotic matrices along a transect within the Okavango Delta, northern Botswana . Environmental Monitoring and Assessmen, 188, 682.

LEI Bu-yun, ZHAO Shu-he, QIN Zhi-hao, Peter JOHNSTON, HE Ke-xun, ZHANG Zhen-ke. 2016. Drought temporal-spatial distribution of South Africa based on MODIS SDI index from 2001-2014. Arid Land Geography, 39(2), 395-404.

Nchaba, T., Mpholo, M. and Lennard, C. 2016. Long-term austral summer wind speed trends over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4883

Ncube, M., Madubula, N., Ngwenya, H., Zinyengere, N., Zhou, L., Francis, J., Mthunzi, T., Crespo, O. and Madzivhandila, T. 2016. Climate change, household vulnerability and smart agriculture: The case of two South African provinces. Jàmbá: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies; Vol 8, No 2 (2016), 14 pages. doi: 10.4102/jamba.v8i2.182

Naik, M. and Abiodun, B. J. 2016. Potential impacts of forestation on future climate change in Southern Africa. Int. J. Climatol.. doi:10.1002/joc.4652

Ruane, A.C., Tiechmann, C., W. Arnell, N.W., Carter, T.R., Ebi, K.L., Frieler, K., Goodess, C.M., Hewitson, B., Horton, R., Kovats, R.S., Lotze, H.K., Mearns, L.O., Navarra, A., Ojima, D.S., Riahi, K., Rosenzweig, C., Themessl, M. and Vincent, K. 2016. The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Climate Services Advisory Board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3493–3515. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3493-2016.

Steynor, A., Padgham, J., Jack, C., Hewitson, B. and Lennard, C. 2016. Co-exploratory climate risk workshops: Experiences from urban Africa. Climate Risk Management. doi:10.1016/j.crm.2016.03.001. 

Thito, K., Wolski, P. and M Murray-Hudson, M. 2016. Mapping inundation extent, frequency and duration in the Okavango Delta from 2001 to 2012. African Journal of Aquatic Science, 41:3, 267-277, DOI: 10.2989/16085914.2016.1173009.

2015

Abatan, A.A., Abiodun, B.J., Lawal, K.A. and Gutowski Jr. W.J. 2015. Trends in extreme temperature over Nigeria from percentile-based threshold indicesInternational Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4510.

Abiodun, B.J., Omar, S.A., Lennard. C. and Jack C. 2015. Using regional climate models to simulate extreme rainfall events in the Western Cape, South Africa. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4376.

WMO Bulletin Vol 64 (2) – 2015: By Peter Adams, Bruce Hewitson, Catherine Vaughan, Rob Wilby, Stephen Zebiak, Erika Eitland and WMO Secretariat  – Call for an Ethical Framework for Climate Services.

Under the auspices of the Climate Services Partnership, drafted by: Adams, P., Eitland, E., Hewitson, B., Vaughan, C., Wilby, R., Zebiak, S. 2015. Toward an ethical framework for climate services: A White Paper of the Climate Services Partnership Working Group on Climate Services Ethics.

Bellprat, O., Lott, F.C., Gulizia, C., Parker, H.R., Pampuch, L.A., Pinto, I., Ciavarella, A., and Stott, P.A. 2015. Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over southern Africa and south America from a climate perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.07.001.

Boehlert, B., Strzepek, K., Groves, D., Hewitson, B., & Jack, C. (2015). Climate Change Projections in Africa. In Enhancing the Climate Resilience of Africa’s Infrastructure: The Power and Water Sectors (pp. 59–75). https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-0466-3_ch3

Browne-Klutse N.A., Abiodun B.J., Hewitson B.C., Gutowski W.J. and Tadross M. 2015. Evaluation of two GCMs in simulating rainfall inter-annual variability over Southern Africa. Theoretical & Applied climatology. DOI:10.1007/s00704-014-1356-z.

Daron, J.D., and Colenbrander, D.R. 2015. A critical investigation of evaluation matrices to inform coastal adaptation and planning decisions at the local scale. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management Vol 58(12) 2250-2270.

Daron, J.D., Lorenz, S., Wolski, P., Blamey, R.C., and Jack, C. 2015. Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisionsClimate Risk Management. doi:10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.007.

Daron, J.D., Sutherland, K., Jack, C., and Hewitson, B.C. 2015. The role of regional climate projections in managing complex socio-ecological systemsRegional Environmental Change Vol 15 1-12.

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2015. On quantifying the climate of the nonautonomous Lorenz-63 model. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 25, 043103 (2015); DOI: 10.1063/1.4916789.

Diasso, U. and Abiodun, B.J. 2015. Drought modes in West Africa and how well CORDEX RCMs simulate themTheoretical and Applied Climatology pp 1-18: DOI 10.1007/s00704-015-1705-6

Endris, H.S., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G. and Panitz, H-J. 2015. Teleconnection responses in multi-GCM driven CORDEX RCMs over Eastern AfricaClimate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2734-7.

Favre, A., Philippon, N., Pohl, B., Kalognomou, E-A., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Nikulin, G., Dosio, A., Panitz, H .J., and Cerezo-Mota, R. 2015. Spatial distribution of precipitation annual cycles over South Africa in 10 CORDEX regional climate model present-day simulations. Climate Dynamics, DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2677-z

Fujisawa, M., Kobayashi, K., Johnston, P., and New, M. 2015. What drives farmers to make top-down or bottom-up adaptation to climate change and fluctuations? A comparative study on 3 cases of apple farming in Japan and South AfricaPlos ONE 10(3) e0120563 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0120563 (2015) 1-16.

Hauser, T., Demirov, E., Zhu, J., and Yashayaev, I.  2015. North Atlantic atmospheric and ocean inter-annual variability over the past fifty years – Dominant patterns and decadal shifts. Progress in Oceanography. Vol 132 197-219.

Hewitson, B., 2015. To build capacity, build confidenceNature Geoscience 8, 497–499. doi:10.1038/ngeo2465.

Jones, L., Dougill, A., Jones, R.G, Steynor, A., Watkiss, P., Kane, C., Koelle, B., Moufouma-Okia, W., Padgham, J., Ranger, N.,  Roux, J-P., Suarez, P., Tanner T.,  and Vincent, K. 2015. Ensuring climate information guides long-term developmentNature Climate Change 5, 812–814. doi:10.1038/nclimate2701.

Klutse, N. A., B., Sylla, M. B., Diallo, I., Sarr, A., Dosio, A., Diedhiou, A., Kamga, A., Lamptey, B., Ali, A., Gbobanyini E., Owusu, K., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B.,
Grigory Nikulin, G., Panitz, HJ, and Büchner, M. 2015. Daily characteristics of West African summer monsoon precipitation in CORDEX simulations. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1-18. 

Lennard, C., Hahmann, A.N., Badger, J., Mortensen, N.G., and Argent, B. 2015. Development of a Numerical Wind Atlas for South AfricaEnergy Procedia Vol 76 128–137.

Lennard, C., and Hegerl, G. 2015. Relating changes in synoptic circulation to the surface rainfall response using self-organising mapsClimate Dynamics Vol 44 861-879.

Linhoss, A.C.Carpena, R., Kiker, G., and Wolski, P. 2015. Reducing uncertainty based on model fitness: Application to a reservoir model. Water SA Vol. 41 No. 1.

Mpholo, M., Nchaba, T., and Monese, M. 2015. Yield and performance analysis of the first grid-connected solar farm at Moshoeshoe I International Airport, LesothoRenewable Energy Vol 81 (2015) 845-852.

Pinto, I., Lennard, C., Tadross, M., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G., Panitz, H.-J. and Shongwe, M. 2015. Evaluation and projections of extreme precipitation over southern Africa from two CORDEX models. Climatic Change, Springer Netherlands, 2015, 1-14, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1573-1.

Shongwe, M.E., Lennard, C., Liebmann, B., Kalognomou, E-A., Ntsangwane, L., and Pinto, I. 2015. An evaluation of CORDEX regional climate models in simulating precipitation over Southern AfricaAtmospheric Science Letters Vol 16 199-207.

Struyf, E., Mosimane, K., Van Pelt, D., Murray-Hudson, M., Meire, P., Frings, P., Wolski P., Schaller, J., Gondwe, M.J., Schoelynck, J., Conley, D. J. 2014. The Role of Vegetation in the Okavango Delta Silica Sink. Wetlands, 35(1), 171–181. http://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-014-0607-1.

Teweldemedhin, M.Y., Durand, W., Crespo, O., Beletse, Y.G., and Nhemachena, C. 2015. Economic impact of climate change and benefit of adaptations for maize production: Case from Namibia, Zambezi region. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics Vol 7 (2) 61-71

Thito, K., Wolski, P., and Murray-Hudson, M. 2015. Spectral reflectance of floodplain vegetation communities of the Okavango DeltaWetlands Ecology and Management Vol 23 637-648.

Ylhaisi, J., Garre, L., Daron, J., and Raisanen, J. 2015. Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making. Local Environment Vol 20 (7) 811-835.

Zinyengerea, N., Crespo, O., Hachigonta, S. and Tadross, M. 2015. Crop model usefulness in drylands of southern Africa: an application of DSSAT. South African Journal of Plant and Soil, Vol.32(2), pp.95-104.

Masikati P., Homann-Kee Tui S., Descheemaeker K., Crespo O., Walker S., Lennard C.J., Claessens L., Gama A.C., Famba S., van Rooyen A.F., Valdivia R.O.. Crop–Livestock Intensification in the Face of Climate Change: Exploring Opportunities to Reduce Risk and Increase Resilience in Southern Africa by Using an Integrated Multi-modeling Approach. Section I. Chapter 5, In: Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: pp. 159-198.

Beletse Y.G., Durand W., Nhemachena C., Crespo O., Tesfuhuney W.A., Jones M.R., Teweldemedhin M.Y., Gamedze S.M., Bonolo P.M., Jonas S., Walker S., Gwimbi P., Mpuisang T.N., Cammarano D., Valdivia R.O.. Projected Impacts of Climate Change Scenarios on the Production of Maize in Southern Africa: An Integrated Assessment Case Study of the Bethlehem District, Central Free State, South Africa. Section I. Chapter 4, In: Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: pp. 159-198.

2014

Abatan, A.A., Abiodun, B.J., Omotosho, B.J. 2014. On the characteristics of sea breezes over Nigerian coastal regionTheoretical and Applied Climatology 116, 93-102

Abiodun, B.J., Ojumu, A. M., Jenner, S. and Ojumu, T. V. 2014. Transport of atmospheric NOx and HNO3 over Cape TownAtmos. Chem. Phys. 14, 559–575

Angélil, O., Stone, D.A., and Pall, P. 2014. Attributing the probability of South African weather extremes to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Spatial characteristicsGeophysical Research Letters, 41

Angelil O., Stone D., Tadross M., Tummon F., Wehner M., Knutti R. 2014. Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(6), 2150-2155

Daron, J.D. 2014. Challenges in using a Robust Decision Making approach to guide climate change adaptation in South AfricaClimatic Change

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2014. Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate. Climate Risk Management 1, 76-91

Daron, J.D. and Colenbrander, D.R. 2014. A critical investigation of evaluation matrices to inform coastal adaptation and planning decisions at the local scale. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management

Frings, P.J., De La Rocha, C., Struyf, E., van Pelt, D., Schoelynck, J., Murray-Hudson M., Gondwe, M.J., Wolski, P., Mosimane, K., Gray, W., Schaller, J., Conley, D.J. 2014. Tracing silicon cycling in the Okavango Delta, a sub-tropical flood-pulse wetland using silicon isotopesGeochimica et Cosmochimica Acta. Volume 142, 1 October 2014, Pages 132–148

Kgathi, D.L., Mmopelwa, G., Vanderpost, C., Wolski, P., Motsholapheko, M.R., 2014. Impacts of desiccation on ecosystem services and household adaptation in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. Biodivers. Ecol. 5, 263–277

Kolawole, O.D., Wolski, P., Ngwenya, B. and Mmopelwa, G. 2014. Ethno-meteorology and scientific weather forecasting: Small farmers and scientists’ perspectives on climate variability in the Okavango Delta, BotswanaClimate Risk Management

Kolawole, O.D., Wolski, P., Ngwenya, B., Mmopelwa, G. and Thakadu, O. 2014. Responding to climate change through joint partnership: Insights from the Okavango Delta of Botswana. World Journal of Science, Technology and Sustainable Development, Vol. 11 Iss: 3, pp.170 – 181

Lawal, K.A.,  Stone, D.A.,  Aina, T.,  Rye, C. and Abiodun, B.J. 2014. Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa. International Journal of Climatology.  DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234

Lotter D., Archer van Garderen E., Tadross M., Valentine A.J. 2014 in press. Seasonal variation in the nitrogen nutrition and carbon assimilation in wild and cultivated Aspalathus linearis (rooibos tea). Australian Journal of Botany

Lotter D., Valentine A.J., Archer van Garderen E., Tadross M. 2014. Physiological responses of a fynbos legume, Aspalathus linearis to drought stress. South African Journal of Botany. 94. 218-223

Matthew, O.J, Abiodun, B.J, and Salami, A.T. 2014. Modelling the impacts of climate variability on crop yields in Nigeria: performance evaluation of RegCM3‐GLAM system. Meteorological Applications

Meque, A, and Abiodun, B.J 2014. Simulating the link between ENSO and summer drought in Southern Africa using regional climate models. Climate Dynamics

Mladenov, N., Wolski, P., Hettiarachchi, G.H., Murray-Hudson, M., Enriquez, H., Damaraju, S., Galkaduwa, M.B., McKnight, D.M. and Masamba W. 2014. Abiotic and biotic factors influencing the mobility of arsenic in groundwater of a through-flow island in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. Journal of Hydrology Volume 518, Part C

Mounkaila, M.S, Abiodun, B.J, and Omotosho, J.B 2014. Assessing the capability of CORDEX models in simulating onset of rainfall in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Murray-Hudson, M., Wolski, P., Cassidy, L., Brown, M.T., Thito, K., Kashe, K., Mosimanyana, E., 2014. Remote Sensing-derived hydroperiod as a predictor of floodplain vegetation composition. Wetl. Ecol. Manag.

Murray-Hudson, M., Wolski, P., Murray-Hudson, F., Brown, M.T., Kashe, K. 2014. Disaggregating Hydroperiod: Components of the Seasonal Flood Pulse as Drivers of Plant Species Distribution in Floodplains of a Tropical WetlandWetlands

Nzotungicimpaye, C-M, Abiodun, B.J, and Steyn, D.G. 2014. Tropospheric ozone and its regional transport over Cape Town. Atmospheric Environment. 87, 228-238

Oguntunde, P.G., Lischeid, G., Abiodun, B.J., and Dietrich, O. 2014. Analysis of spatial and temporal patterns in onset, cessation and length of growing season in NigeriaAgricultural and Forest Meteorology 194 (2014): 77-87

K. Thito, K., Wolski, P. and Murray-Hudson, M. 2014. Spectral reflectance of floodplain vegetation communities of the Okavango DeltaWetlands Ecology and Management. DOI 10.1007/s11273-014-9403-1.

Tozuka, T., Abiodun B.J., and Engelbrecht, F.A. 2014. Impacts of convection schemes on simulating tropical-temperate troughs over southern AfricaClimate Dynamics, 42(1-2), 433-451

Ujeneza, E.L., Abiodun, B.J. 2014. Drought regimes in Southern Africa and how well GCMs simulate themClimate Dynamics

Wolski, P., Stone, D., Tadross, M., Wehner, M. and Hewitson, B. 2014. Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology 511, 350-358

Ylhäisi, J.S., Garrè, L., Daron, J. and Räisänen, J. 2014. Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making. Local Environment 

Ziervogel, G., New, M., van Garderen, E.A., Midgley, G., Taylor, A., Hamann, R., Stuart-Hill, S., Myers, J. and Warburton, M. 2014. Climate change impacts and adaptation in South AfricaWIREs Clim Change 2014. doi: 10.1002/wcc.295

Zinyengere, N., Crespo, O.,  Hachigonta, S. and Tadross, M. 2014. Local impacts of climate change on agronomic practices on dry land crops in Southern Africa.  Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 197 (2014) 1–10

2013

Abiodun, B.J, Lawal, K.A, Salami, A.T, and Abatan, A.A. 2013. Potential influences of global warming on future climate and extreme events in Nigeria. Regional Environmental Change, 13(3), 477-491.

Abiodun, B.J, Salami, A.T, Matthew, O.J, and Odedokun, S. 2013. Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria. Climate Dynamics, 41(2), 277-293

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. 2013. On predicting climate under climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3) 034021

Estes, L. D., Beukes, H., Bradley, B. A., Debats, S. R., Oppenheimer, M. G., Ruane, A. C., Schulze, R., Tadross, M. A. 2013. Projected climate impacts to South African maize and wheat production in 2055: A comparison of empirical and mechanistic modeling approaches. Global Change Biology.

Estes, L. D., Bradley, B. A., Beukes, H., Hole, D. G., Lau, M., Oppenheimer, M. G., Schulze, R., Tadross, M. A., Turner, W. R. (2013), Comparing mechanistic and empirical model projections of crop suitability and productivity: implications for ecological forecasting. Global Ecology and Biogeography.

Fasona, M., Tadross M., Abiodun B.J., Omojola A. 2013. Some implications of terrestrial ecosystems response to climate change for adaptation in Nigerian wooded savannah. Environmental Development 5, 73-95.

Frame, D.J. and Stone, D.A. 2013. Assessment of the first consensus prediction in climate changeNature Climate Change, 3, 337-359.

Gbobaniyi, E., Sarr, A., Bamba Sylla, M., Diallo, I., Lennard, C., Dosio, A., Dhi´ediou, A., Kamga, A., Browne Klutse, N.A., Hewitson, B., Nikulin, G. and Lamptey, B. 2013. Climatology, annual cycle and interannual variability of precipitation and temperature in CORDEX simulations over West Africa. International Journal of Climatology.

Hewitson, B.C., Daron, J., Crane, R. G., Zermoglio, F. and Jack, C. 2013. Interrogating empirical-statistical downscaling. Climatic Change.

Hussen Seid Endris, Philip Omondi, Suman Jain, Christopher Lennard, Bruce Hewitson, Ladislaus Chang’a, J. L. Awange, Alessandro Dosio, Patrick Ketiem, Grigory Nikulin, Hans-Jürgen Panitz, Matthias Büchner, Frode Stordal, Lukiya Tazalika. 2013. Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa RainfallJournal of Climate

Jenner, S.L. and Abiodun, B. J. 2013. The transport of atmospheric sulfur over Cape Town. Atmospheric Environment, 79, 248-260.

Kalognomou, E., Lennard, C., Shongwe, M., Pinto, I., Favre, A., Kent, M., Hewitson, B., Dosio, A., Nikulin, G., Panitz, H. and  Büchner, M. 2013. A diagnostic evaluation of precipitation in CORDEX models over southern Africa. Journal of Climate.

Kim J, Waliser DE, Mattmann C, Goodale C, Hart A, Zimdars P, Crichton D, Jones C, Nikulin G, Hewitson B, Jack C, Lennard C, Favre A. 2013. Evaluation of the surface climatology in the CORDEX-Africa multi-RCM hindcast experiment using the JPL-UCLA Regional Climate Model Evaluation System (RCMES). Climate Dynamics.

MacKellar, N.C.,  S. J. Dadson M. New, and P. Wolski. 2013. Evaluation of the JULES land surface model in simulating catchment hydrology in Southern AfricaHydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,10, 11093–11128

Mladenov, N., Wolski, P., Hettiarachchi, G.M., Murray-Hudson, M., Enriquez, H., Damaraju, S., Galkaduwa, M.B., McKnight, D.M., Masamba, W., 2013. Abiotic and biotic factors influencing the mobility of arsenic in groundwater of a through-flow island in the Okavango Delta, BotswanaJ. Hydrol.

Mustelin, J., N. Kuruppu, A. Matus Kramer, J. Daron, K. de Bruin and A. Guerra-Noriega. 2013. Climate adaptation research for the next generation. Climate and Development

Stott, P.A., M. Allen, N. Christidis, R.M. Dole, M. Hoerling, C. Huntingford, P. Pall, J. Perlwitz, and D. Stone.  2013.  Attribution of weather and climate-related events.  In: Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities, Eds. G. R. Asrar, J. W. Hurrell, Springer Science+Business Media, Dordrecht 307-337.

Zinyengere, N., O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, 2013. Crop response to climate change in Southern Africa: A comprehensive reviewGlobal and Planetary Change

2012

Abiodun, B.J., Lawal, K.A., Salami, A.T. and Abatan, A.A. 2012. Potential influences of global warming on future climate and extreme events in NigeriaRegional Environmental Change.

Abiodun, B.J.  Z.D. Adeyewa, P.G. Oguntunde, A.T Salami and V.O Ajayi (2012) Modelling the Impacts of Reforestation on Future Climate in West Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 110, 77 – 96.

Abiodun, B.J.  Salami A.T., Mathew O.J. and Odedokun O (2012) Potential impacts of afforestation on climate change and extreme events in Nigeria. Climate Dynamics 

Eckardt, F.D., Soderberg, K., Coop, L.J., Muller, A.A., Vickery, K.J., Grandin, R.D., Jack, C., Kapalanga, T.S. and Henschel, J. 2012. The nature of moisture at Gobabeb, in the central Namib DesertJournal of Arid Environments, pp. 1-13.

Favre A, Hewitson B, Tadross M, Lennard C, Cerezo-Mota R. 2012. Relationships between Cut-off Lows and the Semiannual and Southern OscillationsClimate Dynamics, Vol. 38, pp. 1473-1487.

Favre A, Hewitson B, Lennard C, Cerezo-Mota R, Tadross M. 2012. Cut-off Lows in the South African region and their contribution to precipitation. Climate Dynamics.

Frame, D. J., and D. A. Stone. 2012. Assessment of the first consensus prediction on climate change? Nature Climate Change.

Mahongo, S.B., Francis, J. and Osima, E. 2012. Wind Patterns of Coastal Tanzania: Their Variability and TrendsWestern Indian Ocean Journal of Marine Science 10 (2) 107-120.

Oguntunde, P.G., Abiodun, B.J. and Lischeid 2012. Spatial and temporal temperature trends in Nigeria, 1901-2000. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 118, 95-105

Oguntunde, PG and Abiodun, B.J 2012. The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa. Climate Dynamics

Oguntunde, P. G., Abiodun, B.J., Lischeid, G. and Merz, C. 2012. Modelling the impacts of reforestation on the projected hydroclimatology of Niger River Basin, West Africa. Ecohydrol.

Rowlands, D.J. et al. 2012. Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensembleNature Geoscience 5. 256-260.

Wiid, N and Ziervogel, G. 2012. Adapting to climate change in South Africa: commercial farmers’ perception of and response to changing climate. South African Geographical Journal, Vol 94(2).

Wolski P., Todd M.C., Murray-Hudson M.A. & Tadross M. 2012. Multidecadal variability in hydro-climate of Okavango river system, southwest Africa, in the past and under changing climate. Journal of Hydrology, Volume 475   

2011

Abiodun, B.J., Gutowski, W., Abatan, A.A. and Prusa, J.M. 2011. CAM-EULAG: A non-hydrostatic atmospheric climate model with grid stretchingActa Geophysica, 59(6): 1158-1167.

Angélil, O., D. A. Stone and P. Pall. 2011. Attributing the risk of South African weather extremes to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: spatial characteristicsGeophy. Res. Lett., , submitted.

Cerezo-Mota, R. , Allen, M. and Jones, R. 2011. Mechanisms controlling precipitation in the Northern portion of the North American monsoon.  American Meterological Society, 24 (11), pp 2771-2783.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, P2q hierarchical decomposition algorithm for quantile optimization: application to irrigation strategies designAnnals of Operations Research, Vol.190, No.1, pp. 375-387, 2011.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, P2 hierarchical decomposition procedure: application to irrigation strategies designOperational Research, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 19-39, 2011. 

O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, M. Tadross, Sensitivity of southern African maize yields to the definition of sowing dekad in a changing climateClimatic Change, Vol. 106, No. 2, pp. 267-283, 2011.

Fasona M., Tadross M., Abiodun B.J., Omojola A. (2011) Local Climate Forcing and Eco-Climatic Complexes in the Wooded Savannah of Western Nigeria.  Natural Resources 2, 155-166 

Gbobaniyi, O. Abiodun, B.J. Tadross, M.A. Hewitson, B.C and Gutowski, W.J. 2011. The coupling of cloud base height and surface fluxes: a transferability intercomparisonTheoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 106, pp. 189-210

Kay, A.L., Crooks, S.M., Pall, P. and Stone, D.A. 2011. Attribution of Autumn/Winter 200 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: A Catchment-based studyJournal of Hydrology, 406:97-112.

Oguntunde, P.G., Abiodun, B.J. and Lischeid, G. 2011. Rainfall trends in Nigeria, 1901-200Journal of Hydrology, 411: 207-218.

Parnell, S. and Walawege, R.P. 2011. Sub-Saharan African ubanisation and global environmental changeGlobal Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 21S:S12-S20.

Philippon N, Rouault M, Richard Y, Favre A. 2011. The influence of ENSO on South Africa winter rainfallInternational Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3403.

Quinn, C.H., Ziervogel, G., Taylor, A., Takama, T. and Thomalla, F. 2011. Coping with multiple stresses in Rural South Africa. Ecology and Society, 16(3): ES-04216-160302 (20 pages).

Stone, D. A. and R. Knutti. 2011. Weather and climateIn: Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources, , 200pp.

Stone, D. A., C. Lennard, M. Tadross, M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott and P. Pall. 2011. A weather risk attribution forecast system for Africa and the worldBulletin of the American Meteorological Institute, , submitted.

Wågsæther, K. and G. Ziervogel. 2011. Bridging the communication gap: an exploration of the climate science–water management interfaceEnvironment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 53, 32-43.

2010

J.E. Bergez, O. Crespo, F. Garcia, M.H. Jeuffroy, C. Loyce, W. Sadok, Designing crop management systems by simulationEuropean Journal of Agronomy, 2010, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 3-9.

O. Crespo, J.E. Bergez, F. Garcia, Multiobjective optimization subject to uncertainty: application to irrigation strategy management, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, October 2010, Vol. 74, No. 1, pp. 145-154.

Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P.J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson and L. Mearns. 2010. Good practice guidance paper on assessing and combining multi model climate projections. , , .

MacKellar, N. C., M. A. Tadross and B. C. Hewitson. 2010. Synoptic-based evaluation of climate response to vegetation change over southern AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 30, 774-789.

Patt, A. G., M. Tadross, P. Nussbaumer, K. Asante, M. Metzger, Rafael, J. Goujon, A. and G. Brundrit. 2010. Estimating least-developed countries’ vulnerability to climate-related extreme events over the next 50 yearsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Stott, P. A., N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, D. J. Karoly, D. A. Stone, X. Zhang and F. Zwiers. 2010. Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspectiveWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1, 10.1002/wcc.34.

M. Tadross, I. Oliveira, M. Mdoka, F. Tummon, G. Maure, N. MacKellar, N. Browne, O. Crespo, S. Hachigonta, B. Hewitson, Modelling the influence of vegetation, soil moisture and aerosols on early summer Southern African climate, Water Research Commission report no 1681/1/10, ISBN 978-1-77005-976-4, May 2010, South Africa.

Ziervogel, G. and P. Ericksen. 2010. Adapting to climate change to sustain food securityWIRES Climate Change, 1, 525-540.

Ziervogel, G., P. Johnston, M. Matthew and P. Mukheibir. 2010. Using climate information for supporting climate change adaptation in water resource management in South AfricaClimatic Change, 103, 537-554, 10.1007/s10584-009-9771-3.

Ziervogel, G., M. Shale and M. Du. 2010. Climate change adaptation in a developing country context: the case of urban water supply in Cape TownClimate and Development, 2, 94-110.

2009

Archer, E.R.M. and Tadross, M.A. 2009. Climate change and desertification in South Africa – science and response. African Journal of Range and Forage Science, 26: 127-131.

Archer, E.R.M., Conrad,J., Munch, Z., Opperman, D., Tadross, M.A. and Venter, J. 2009. Climate change, groundwater and intensive commercial farming in the semi-arid northern Sandveld, South Africa. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 6(2): 139-155.

Lumsden, D.B., Schulze, R.E. and Hewitson, B.C. 2009. Evaluation of potential changes in hydrological relevant statistics of rainfall in Southern Africa under conditions of climate change. Water SA, 35: 649-656 .

MacKellar, N. C., M. A. Tadross and B. C. Hewitson. 2009. Effects of vegetation map change in MM5 simulations of southern Africa’s summer climateInternational Journal of Climatology, 29, 885-898. 

O’Brien, K., T. Quinlan and G. Ziervogel. 2009. Vulnerability interventions in the context of multiple stressors: lessons from the Southern Africa Vulnerability Initiative (SAVI)Environmental Science and Policy, 12, 23-32. 

Steynor, A, Hewitson, B and Tadross, M. 2009. Projections of Future Runoff in the Breede River under Climate Change.  Water SA. 35: 433-440. 

Stone, D. A., M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott, P. Pall, S.-K. Min, T. Nozawa and S. Yukimoto. 2009. The detection and attribution of human influence on climateAnnual Review of Environment and Resources, 34, 1-16. 

Tadross, M., P. Suarez, A. Lotsch, S. Hachigonta, M. Mdoka, L. Unganai, F. Lucio, D. Kamdonyo and M. Muchinda. 2009. Growing-season rainfall and scenarios of future change in southeast Africa: implications for cultivating maizeClimate Research, 40, 147-161.

Wilby, R. L., J. Troni, Y. Biot, K. Tedd, B. C. Hewitson, D. M. Smith and R. T. Sutton. 2009. A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planningInternational Journal of Climatology, 29, 1193-1215.

Ziervogel, G. and F. Zermoglio. 2009. Climate change scenarios and the development of adaptation strategies in Africa: challenges and opportunitiesClimate Research, 40, 133-146. 

2008

Hachigonta, S., Reason, C.J.C. and Tadross, M.A. 2008. An analysis of onset date and rainy season duration over Zambia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 91: 229-243. 

Hagemann, K.. 2008. Mesoscale wind atlas of South Africa. , , .

Johnston, P.. 2008. The uptake and utility of seasonal forecasting products for commercial maize farmers in South Africa. , , . 

P. Johnston, D.B. Louw, O. Crespo and T.G. Lumsden, Quantifying the Costs, Benefits and Risks Associated with Climate Risk for Water Resource Development – Planning and Management Alternatives associated with Berg River Catchment Area Case Study (South Africa) – Moving Best Samples into Good Practice, Chapter 9, pp. 175-188. In Petermann, T. (Editor) 2008. Towards Climate Change Adaptation – Building Adaptive Capacity in Managing African Transboundary River Basins. InWEnt, Zschortau, Germany.

Suarez, P., F. Ching, G. Ziervogel, I. Lemaire, D. Turnquest, J. Mendler de Suarez and B. Wisner. 2008. Video-mediated approaches for community-level climate adaptationIDS Bulletin, 39, 96-104. 

Ziervogel, G., A. Cartwright, A. Tas, J. Adejuwon, F. Zermoglio, M. Shale and B. Smith. 2008. Climate change and adaptation in African agriculture

Ziervogel, G. and S. Drimie. 2008. The integration of support for HIV and AIDS and livelihood security: district level institutional analysis in southern AfricaPopulation and Environment, 28, 3-4.

Ziervogel, G. and A. Taylor. 2008. Feeling stressed: integrating climate adaptation with other priorities in South AfricaEnvironment, 50, 32-41.

Ziervogel, G., A. Taylor, S. Hachigonta and J. Hoffmaister. 2008. Climate adaptation in southern Africa: addressing the needs of vulnerable communities

2007

Alam, S. J., R. Meyer, G. Ziervogel and S. Moss. 2007. The impact of HIV/AIDS in the context of socioeconomic stressors: an evidence-driven approachJournal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 10, 7.

Hachigonta, S., C. J. C. Reason and M. Tadross. 2007. An analysis of onset date and rainy season duration over ZambiaTheoretcal and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-007-0306-4. 

Johnston, P., G. Ziervogel and M. Matthew. 2007. The uptake and usefulness of weather and climate forecast information among water resource managers in the SW Cape region of South Africa. , 30, 380-389.

MacKellar, N. C.. 2007. Simulating the effects of land-surface change on southern Africa’s climate. , , .

MacKellar, N. C., B. C. Hewitson and M. A. Tadross. 2007. Namaqualand’s climate: recent historical changes and future scenariosJournal of Arid Environments, 70, 604-614 .

Mukheibir, P. and G. Ziervogel. 2007. Developing a municipal adaptation plan (MAP) for climate change: the City of Cape TownEnvironment and Urbanisation, 19, 143-158. 

Thomas, D. S. G., C. Twyman, H. Osbahr and B. Hewitson. 2007. Adaptation to climate change and variability: farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South AfricaClimatic Change, 83, 301-322.

2006

Hachigonta, S. and C. J. C. Reason. 2006. Interannual variability in dry and wet spell characteristics over ZambiaClimate Research, 32, 49-62. 

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2006. Consensus between GCM climate change projections with empirical downscaling: precipitation downscaling over South AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 26, 1315-1337. 

Reason, C. J. C., F. Engelbrecht, W. A. Landman, J. R. E. Lutjeharms, S. Piketh, C. J. de W. Rautenbach and B. C. Hewitson. 2006. A review of South African research in atmospheric science and physical oceanography during 2000-2005South African Journal of Science, 102, 35-45. 

Ziervogel, G., S. Bharwani and T. E. Downing. 2006. Adapting to climate variability: pumpkins, people and policyNatural Resources Forum, 30, 294-305.

2005

Bharwani, S., M. Bithell, T. E. Downing, M. New, R. Washington and G. Ziervogel. 2005. Multi-agent modelling of climate outlooks and food security on a community garden scheme in Limpopo, South AfricaPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 360, 2183-2194.

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2005. Gridded area-averaged daily precipitation via conditional interpolationJournal of Climate, 18, 41-57.

Midgley, G. F., R. A. Chapman, B. Hewitson, P. Johnston, M. De Wit, G. Ziervogel, P. Mukheibir, L. Van Niekerk, M. Tadross, B. W. Van Wilgen, B. Kgope, P. D. Morant, A. Theron, R. J. Scholes and G. G. Forsyth. 2005. A status quo, vulnerability and adaptation assessment of the physical and socio-economic effects of climate change in the Western CapeCSIR Report No. ENV-S-C 2005-073.

Reason, C. J. C., S. Hachigonta and R. F. Phaladi. 2005. Interannual variability in rainy season characteristics over the Limpopo region of southern AfricaInternational Journal of Climatology, 25, 1835-1853.

Tadross, M., C. Jack and B. Hewitson. 2005. On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climateGeophysical Research Letters, 32, L23713, 10.1029/2005GL024460.

2004

Ziervogel, G. 2004. Targeting seasonal climate forecasts for integration into household level decisions: the case of smallholder farmers in LesothoThe Geographical Journal, 170, 6-21.

Ziervogel, G. and T. E. Downing. 2004. Stakeholder networks: improving seasonal climate forecastsClimatic Change, 65, 73-101. 

2003

Hewitson, B. 2003. Developing perturbations for climate change impact assessmentsEos, 84, 337-341.

New, M., R. Washington, C. Jack and B. Hewitson. 2003. Sensitivity of southern African climate to soil-moistureCLIVAR Exchanges, 8, 45-47.

2002

Barrable, A., M. E. Meadows and B. C. Hewitson. 2002. Environmental reconstruction and climate modelling of the Late Quaternary in the winter rainfall region of the Western Cape, South AfricaSouth African Journal of Science, 98, 611-616.

Hewitson, B. C. and R. G. Crane. 2002. Self-organising maps: applications to synoptic climatologyClimate Research, 22, 13-26.