Publications

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• Wolski P, Crespo OB, Tadross MA, Khumalo F, Du Pont TC, Riquet D, Jones C,  (2024) On the quantitative limits for triggering drought anticipatory actions in Mindanao, the Philippines Frontiers in Climate doi:8c647209-a602-4713-9759-e901efef3591
  
• Landman WA, Tadross MA, Archer E, Johnston P,  (2023) Probabilistic vs deterministic forecasts – interpreting skill statistics for the benefit of users Water SA doi:cfc570ad-fd96-439a-ae6f-7efdc7272a79
  
• Willem A. Landman, Emma R. M. Archer, Mark A. Tadross,  (2020) Citizen Science for the Prediction of Climate Extremes in South Africa and Namibia Frontiers in Climate doi:10.3389/fclim.2020.00005
  
• Piotr Wolski, Stefaan Conradie, Chris Jack, Mark Tadross,  (2020) Spatio‐temporal patterns of rainfall trends and the 2015‐2017 drought over the winter rainfall region of South Africa International Journal of Climatology doi:10.1002/joc.6768
  
• Emma Archer, Willem Landman, Johan Malherbe, Mark Tadross, Simone Pretorius,  (2019) South Africa’s winter rainfall region drought: A region in transition? Climate Risk Management doi:10.1016/j.crm.2019.100188
  
• Emma Archer, Francois Engelbrecht, Andreas Hänsler, Willem Landman, Mark Tadross, Jörg Helmschrot,  (2018) Seasonal prediction and regional climate projections for southern Africa Biodiversity & Ecology doi:10.7809/b-e.00296
  
• Wolski, P., Lennard, C., Jack, C., Tadross, M.,  (2017) Seasonal hydrological forecasting - Current state of play Water Wheel doi:2-s2.0-85028950951
  
• Emma Rosa Mary Archer, Willem Adolf Landman, Mark Alexander Tadross, Johan Malherbe, Harold Weepener, Phumzile Maluleke, Farai Maxwell Marumbwa,  (2017) Understanding the evolution of the 2014–2016 summer rainfall seasons in southern Africa: Key lessons Climate Risk Management doi:10.1016/j.crm.2017.03.006
  
• Piotr Wolski, Christopher Jack, Mark Tadross, Lisa van Aardenne, Christopher Lennard,  (2017) Interannual rainfall variability and SOM-based circulation classification Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3621-1
  
• van Garderen, E.R.M.A., Davis, C.L., Tadross, M.A.,  (2015) A changing environment for livestock in South Africa Political Ecologies of Meat doi:10.4324/9781315818283
  
• Izidine Pinto, Christopher Lennard, Mark Tadross, Bruce Hewitson, Alessandro Dosio, Grigory Nikulin, Hans-Juergen Panitz, Mxolisi E. Shongwe,  (2015) Evaluation and projections of extreme precipitation over southern Africa from two CORDEX models Climatic Change doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1573-1
  
• Nana Ama Browne Klutse, Babatunde J. Abiodun, Bruce C. Hewitson, William J. Gutowski, Mark A. Tadross,  (2015) Evaluation of two GCMs in simulating rainfall inter-annual variability over Southern Africa Theoretical and Applied Climatology doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1356-z
  
• Nkulumo Zinyengere, Olivier Crespo, Sepo Hachigonta, Mark Tadross,  (2015) Crop model usefulness in drylands of southern Africa: an application of DSSAT South African Journal of Plant and Soil doi:10.1080/02571862.2015.1006271
  
• Angélil, O., Stone, D.A., Tadross, M., Tummon, F., Wehner, M., Knutti, R.,  (2014) Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1002/2014GL059234
  
• Lötter, D., Archer Van Garderen, E., Tadross, M., Valentine, A.J.,  (2014) Seasonal variation in the nitrogen nutrition and carbon assimilation in wild and cultivated Aspalathus linearis (rooibos tea) Australian Journal of Botany doi:10.1071/BT13237
  
• Daleen Lötter, Emma Archer van Garderen, Mark Tadross, Alexander J. Valentine,  (2014) Seasonal variation in the nitrogen nutrition and carbon assimilation in wild and cultivated Aspalathus linearis (rooibos tea) Australian Journal of Botany doi:10.1071/bt13237
  
• Nkulumo Zinyengere, Olivier Crespo, Sepo Hachigonta, Mark Tadross,  (2014) Local impacts of climate change and agronomic practices on dry land crops in Southern Africa Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment doi:10.1016/j.agee.2014.07.002
  
• Oliver Angélil, Dáithí A. Stone, Mark Tadross, Fiona Tummon, Michael Wehner, Reto Knutti,  (2014) Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: Sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1002/2014gl059234
  
• Daleen Lotter, Alexander J. Valentine, Emma Archer Van Garderen, Mark Tadross,  (2014) Physiological responses of a fynbos legume, Aspalathus linearis to drought stress South African Journal of Botany doi:10.1016/j.sajb.2014.07.005
  
• Piotr Wolski, Dáithí Stone, Mark Tadross, Michael Wehner, Bruce Hewitson,  (2014) Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa Journal of Hydrology doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.055
  
• L. D. Estes, B. A. Bradley, H. Beukes, D. G. Hole, M. Lau, M. G. Oppenheimer, R. Schulze, M. A. Tadross, W. R. Turner,  (2013) Comparing mechanistic and empirical model projections of crop suitability and productivity: implications for ecological forecasting Global Ecology and Biogeography doi:10.1111/geb.12034
  
• Lyndon D. Estes, Hein Beukes, Bethany A. Bradley, Stephanie R. Debats, Michael Oppenheimer, Alex C. Ruane, Roland Schulze, Mark Tadross,  (2013) Projected climate impacts to South African maize and wheat production in 2055: a comparison of empirical and mechanistic modeling approaches Global Change Biology doi:10.1111/gcb.12325
  
• Mayowa Fasona, Mark Tadross, Babatunde Abiodun, Ademola Omojola,  (2013) Some implications of terrestrial ecosystems response to climate change for adaptation in Nigeria's wooded savannah Environmental Development doi:10.1016/j.envdev.2012.11.003
  
• Wolski, P., Todd, M.C., Murray-Hudson, M.A., Tadross, M.,  (2012) Multi-decadal oscillations in the hydro-climate of the Okavango River system during the past and under a changing climate Journal of Hydrology doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.10.018
  
• Harris, R., Luger, S., Sutherland, C., Tadross, M.,  (2012) Potential impact of climate change on coastal flooding: A case study of the salt river, cape town Climate Change at the City Scale: Impacts, Mitigation and Adaptation in Cape Town doi:10.4324/9780203112656
  
• Tadross, M., Taylor, A., Johnston, P.,  (2012) Understanding cape town’s climate Climate Change at the City Scale: Impacts, Mitigation and Adaptation in Cape Town doi:10.4324/9780203112656
  
• Bethany A. Bradley, Lyndon D. Estes, David G. Hole, Stephen Holness, Michael Oppenheimer, Will R. Turner, Hein Beukes, Roland E. Schulze, Mark A. Tadross, David S. Wilcove,  (2012) Predicting how adaptation to climate change could affect ecological conservation: secondary impacts of shifting agricultural suitability Diversity and Distributions doi:10.1111/j.1472-4642.2011.00875.x
  
• Alice Favre, Bruce Hewitson, Christopher Lennard, Ruth Cerezo-Mota, Mark Tadross,  (2012) Cut-off Lows in the South Africa region and their contribution to precipitation Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1579-6
  
• Mayowa Fasona, Mark Tadross, Babatunde Abiodun, Ademola Omojola,  (2011) Local Climate Forcing and Eco-Climatic Complexes in the Wooded Savannah of Western Nigeria Natural Resources doi:AL:2158706x-201109-201209260016-201209260016-155-166
  
• Emiola O. Gbobaniyi, Babatunde J. Abiodun, Mark A. Tadross, Bruce C. Hewitson, William J. Gutowski,  (2011) The coupling of cloud base height and surface fluxes: a transferability intercomparison Theoretical and Applied Climatology doi:10.1007/s00704-011-0421-0
  
• Mayowa Fasona, Mark Tadross, Babatunde Abiodun, Ademola Omojola,  (2011) Local Climate Forcing and Eco-Climatic Complexes in the Wooded Savannah of Western Nigeria Natural Resources doi:10.4236/nr.2011.23021
  
• Alice Favre, Bruce Hewitson, Mark Tadross, Christopher Lennard, Ruth Cerezo-Mota,  (2011) Relationships between cut-off lows and the semiannual and southern oscillations Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1030-4
  
• (2010) Application of self-organizing maps technique in downscaling GCMs climate change projections for Same, Tanzania Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C doi:10.1016/j.pce.2010.07.023
  
• Tummon, F., Solmon, F., Liousse, C., Tadross, M.,  (2010) Simulation of the direct and semidirect aerosol effects on the southern Africa regional climate during the biomass burning season Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres doi:10.1029/2009JD013738
  
• Patt, A.G., Tadross, M., Nussbaumer, P., Asante, K., Metzger, M., Rafael, J., Goujon, A., Brundrit, G.,  (2010) Estimating least-developed countries' vulnerability to climate-related extreme events over the next 50 years Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America doi:10.1073/pnas.0910253107
  
• F. Tummon, F. Solmon, C. Liousse, M. Tadross,  (2010) Simulation of the direct and semidirect aerosol effects on the southern Africa regional climate during the biomass burning season Journal of Geophysical Research doi:10.1029/2009jd013738
  
• James Cullis, Ken Strzepek, Mark Tadross, Karim Sami, Beyers Havenga, Burgert Gildenhuys, Joel Smith,  (2010) Incorporating climate change into water resources planning for the town of Polokwane, South Africa Climatic Change doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9891-9
  
• Olivier Crespo, Sepo Hachigonta, Mark Tadross,  (2010) Sensitivity of southern African maize yields to the definition of sowing dekad in a changing climate Climatic Change doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9924-4
  
• Tadross, M., Suarez, P., Lotsch, A., Hachigonta, S., Mdoka, M., Unganai, L., Lucio, F., Kamdonyo, D., Muchinda, M.,  (2009) Growing-season rainfall and scenarios of future change in southeast Africa: Implications for cultivating maize Climate Research doi:10.3354/cr00821
  
• Archer, E.R.M., Tadross, M.A.,  (2009) Climate change and desertification in South Africa - Science and response African Journal of Range and Forage Science doi:10.2989/AJRF.2009.26.3.3.948
  
• Emma Archer, Julian Conrad, Zahn Münch, Daleen Opperman, Mark Tadross, Jaco Venter,  (2009) Climate change, groundwater and intensive commercial farming in the semi-arid northern Sandveld, South Africa Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences doi:10.1080/19438150902916589
  
• AC Steynor, BC Hewitson, MA Tadross,  (2009) Projected future runoff of the Breede River under climate change Water SA doi:10.4314/wsa.v35i4.76803
  
• Neil C. MacKellar, Mark A. Tadross, Bruce C. Hewitson,  (2009) Effects of vegetation map change in MM5 simulations of southern Africa's summer climate International Journal of Climatology doi:10.1002/joc.1754
  
• David Stainforth, F Zermoglio, Mark Tadross, T Downing,  (2009) Decision makers, scientists and modellers: Collaborative approaches to enhancing adaptive capacity IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/6/362018
  
• Neil MacKellar, Mark Tadross, Bruce Hewitson,  (2009) Synoptic-based evaluation of climatic response to vegetation change over southern Africa International Journal of Climatology doi:10.1002/joc.1925
  
• David Stainforth, F Zermoglio, Mark Tadross, T Downing,  (2009) Decision makers, scientists and modellers: Collaborative approaches to enhancing adaptive capacity IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/36/362018
  
• Archer, E.R.M., Oettlé, N.M., Louw, R., Tadross, M.A.,  (2008) 'Farming, on the edge' in arid western South Africa: Climate change and agriculture in marginal environments Geography doi:2-s2.0-45149096323
  
• Lee Hannah, Radhika Dave, Porter P Lowry, Sandy Andelman, Michele Andrianarisata, Luciano Andriamaro, Alison Cameron, Robert Hijmans, Claire Kremen, James MacKinnon, Harison Hanitriniaina Randrianasolo, Sylvie Andriambololonera, Andriamandimbisoa Razafimpahanana, Herilala Randriamahazo, Jeannicq Randrianarisoa, Philippe Razafinjatovo, Chris Raxworthy, George E Schatz, Mark Tadross, Lucienne Wilmé,  (2008) Climate change adaptation for conservation in Madagascar Biology Letters doi:10.1098/rsbl.2008.0270
  
• S. Hachigonta, C. J. C. Reason, M. Tadross,  (2007) An analysis of onset date and rainy season duration over Zambia Theoretical and Applied Climatology doi:10.1007/s00704-007-0306-4
  
• N.C. MacKellar, B.C. Hewitson, M.A. Tadross,  (2007) Namaqualand's climate: Recent historical changes and future scenarios Journal of Arid Environments doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2006.03.024
  
• Tadross, M.A., Gutowski, W.J., Hewitson, B.C., Jack, C., New, M.,  (2006) MM5 simulations of interannual change and the diurnal cycle of southern African regional climate Theoretical and Applied Climatology doi:10.1007/s00704-005-0208-2
  
• M. Jury, H. Rautenbach, M. Tadross, A. Philipp,  (2006) Evaluating spatial scales of climate variability in sub-Saharan Africa Theoretical and Applied Climatology doi:10.1007/s00704-006-0251-7
  
• Tadross, M.A., Hewitson, B.C., Usman, M.T.,  (2005) The interannual variability on the onset of the maize growing season over South Africa and Zimbabwe Journal of Climate doi:10.1175/JCLI3423.1
  
• Tadross, M., Jack, C., Hewitson, B.,  (2005) On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climate Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1029/2005GL024460
  
• Mark Tadross, Chris Jack, Bruce Hewitson,  (2005) On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climate Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1029/2005gl024460
  
• Muhammad T. Usman, Emma Archer, Peter Johnston, Mark Tadross,  (2005) A Conceptual Framework for Enhancing the Utility of Rainfall Hazard Forecasts for Agriculture in Marginal Environments Natural Hazards doi:10.1007/s11069-004-4349-x
  
• Reason, C.J.C., Jagadheesha, D., Tadross, M.,  (2003) A model investigation of inter-annual winter rainfall variability over southwestern South Africa and associated ocean-atmosphere interaction South African Journal of Science doi:2-s2.0-0038742949
  
• P. Wadhams, F. Parmiggiani, G. de Carolis, M. Tadross,  (1999) Mapping the Thickness of Pancake Ice Using Ocean Wave Dispersion in SAR Imagery Oceanography of the Ross Sea Antarctica doi:10.1007/978-88-470-2250-8_2
  
• S. Wells, M. Tadross, D. Garbett, Shipboard Scientific Party,  (1995) Sea ice observations log Proceedings of the Ocean Drilling Program, 151 Initial Reports doi:10.2973/odp.proc.ir.151.114.1995
  
• S. Wells, M. Tadross, Shipboard Scientific Party,  (1995) Sea ice physics Proceedings of the Ocean Drilling Program, 151 Initial Reports doi:10.2973/odp.proc.ir.151.104.1995
  
• Stone DA, Lawal K, Lennard C, Tadross MA, Wolski P, Wehner MF,  () The Life and Times of the Weather Risk Attribution Forecast Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society doi:cc30f1b1-a7ef-4e96-adc1-ee2bc027eb2e
  
• Stone DA, Christidis N, Folland C, Perkins-Kirkpatrick S, Perlwitz J, Shiogama H, Wehner MF, Wolski P, Cholia S, Krishnan H, Murray D, Angélil O, Beyerle U, Ciavarella A, Dittus A, Quan X, Tadross M,  () Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution project Weather and Climate Extremes doi:1502137f-f141-4ea4-93ed-9fb14e80a5c4
  
• Davis CL, Engelbrecht FA, Tadross M, Wolski P, Archer ERM, Mambo J, Faccer K,  () Future climate change over Southern Africa doi:03386b55-4925-423b-8df5-98e0e9f596ed
  
• Tadross M., Taylor A., Johnston P.,  () Understanding Cape Town’s Climate doi:cb7673dd-a6ec-492f-b2e5-4b07c3b02fc3
  
• Tadross M, Engelbrecht F, Jack C, Wolski P, Davis-Reddy C,  () PROJECTED CLIMATE CHANGE FUTURES FOR SOUTHERN AFRICA doi:99b52f43-3ae5-48b8-bd4b-722420654ff6
  
• Wolski P, Lennard C, Jack C, Tadross M,  () Seasonal hydrological forecasting - Current state of play Water Wheel doi:7aa6237d-bd89-4a39-8400-2afc9a5a938d
  
• Lawal, K., Wolski, P., Lennard, C., Tadross, M., Abiodun, B., Angélil, O., Cerezo-Mota, R. and Stone, D.,,  () Predictability and attribution of the South African seasonal climate doi:61998e8f-d2f3-4555-b0ae-06cd9eedd637
  
• Lennard C, Steynor A, Kloppers K, Tadross M, Dlamini L, Madajewicz M. and Dinku T.,  () National Meteorological and Hydrological Service Capacity Development Assessment Report. doi:0f8a716a-42cd-4610-ac3b-67d8337751f1
  
• P. Wadhams, G. De Carolis, F. Parmiggiani, M. Tadross,  () Wave dispersion by frazil-pancake ice from SAR imagery IGARSS'97. 1997 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Proceedings. Remote Sensing - A Scientific Vision for Sustainable Development doi:10.1109/igarss.1997.615280
  
• P. Wadhams, F. Parmiggiani, M. Tadross,  () Wave spectra of SAR imagery of the Odden ice tongue 1995 International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS '95. Quantitative Remote Sensing for Science and Applications doi:10.1109/igarss.1995.520477
  

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