This project examines projected changes in extreme rainfall in the medium (2040-2060) and the synoptic drivers of this change in the long term (2070-2099). Using observational data, both station and gridded, and downscaled projection data through CORDEX, changes in the characteristics of known synoptic drivers of extreme rainfall are assessed and quantified. An initial assessment indicates drier than normal condition projected over much of southern Africa alongside an increased possibility of extreme rainfall.
Time frames: 2013 to 2015
Funder: Water Research Commission (WRC)
For further details: Contact Dr Chris Lennard