The Climate System Analysis Group at the University of Cape Town is a unique research group within Africa. We have an eclectic mix of specialties, but most importantly we put the needs of developing nation users at the forefront of everything we do. As a result, CSAG seeks to apply our core research to meet the knowledge needs of responding to climate variability and change.

Since the late 1980s the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been releasing an annual report with a summary of the state of the global climate and this year was no exception. The release of this publication coincides with the American Geophysical Union (AGU) position statement on climate change entitled ‘Human-induced climate change… Read more »

A new paper titled “On predicting climate under climate change” has been published in Environmental Research Letters. The paper, co-authored by myself and David Stainforth from the London School of Economics, suggests that current approaches to climate modelling are inadequate for providing probabilities of future climate change. While ensemble climate prediction methods are becoming more commonplace,… Read more »

(A reaction to “Climate scientists must not advocate particular policies“) Tasmin Edwards states: “But I care more about restoring trust in science than about calling people to action; more about improving public understanding of science so society can make better-informed decisions, than about making people’s decisions for them. Science doesn’t tell us the answer to… Read more »

A CSAG PhD student, Hussen Seid Endris has had a publication accepted by the Journal of Climate.  The paper investigates the performance of a suite of ten Regional Climate Models simulating the historical climate of East Africa and as such falls under the CORDEX Africa activities  Significant results are that the models are generally able to capture… Read more »

This year the CSAG UNITAR/C3D+ Winterschool participants visited Backsberg Estate Cellars and the Sustainability Institute for their field day. Backsberg Estate Cellars were chosen as they are the first wine producers in South Africa and one of only three in the world to gain Carbon Neutral status by sequestrating their carbon emissions. The participants were… Read more »

The location, variance and shape of statistical climatology As the curtain falls on the 12th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (IMSC), it is time to spend a few moments to reflect on the past week. Location Every three years, the world’s statisticians and climate scientists get together to share results, methodologies and insights in a… Read more »

(This blog was written as an op-ed for the Sunday Times) Tens of thousands of scientific papers, thousands of top scientists, decades of research, and summarized in one newspaper article? I think not. The challenge is to ask you to suspend your opinion for a moment. Forget “It’s a hoax” or “we’re all going to… Read more »